Sbm Offshore Nv Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 16.1
| SBFFF Stock | USD 15.16 0.94 5.84% |
SBM |
SBM Offshore Target Price Odds to finish below 16.1
The tendency of SBM Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 16.10 after 90 days |
| 15.16 | 90 days | 16.10 | about 91.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SBM Offshore to stay under $ 16.10 after 90 days from now is about 91.56 (This SBM Offshore NV probability density function shows the probability of SBM Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SBM Offshore NV price to stay between its current price of $ 15.16 and $ 16.10 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.79 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SBM Offshore NV has a beta of -0.3. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SBM Offshore are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SBM Offshore NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SBM Offshore NV has an alpha of 0.2256, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SBM Offshore Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SBM Offshore
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SBM Offshore NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SBM Offshore's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SBM Offshore Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SBM Offshore is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SBM Offshore's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SBM Offshore NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SBM Offshore within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
SBM Offshore Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SBM Offshore for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SBM Offshore NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SBM Offshore NV has accumulated about 605 M in cash with (755 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.4. | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
SBM Offshore Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SBM Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SBM Offshore's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SBM Offshore's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 180.7 M |
SBM Offshore Technical Analysis
SBM Offshore's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SBM Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SBM Offshore NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing SBM Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SBM Offshore Predictive Forecast Models
SBM Offshore's time-series forecasting models is one of many SBM Offshore's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SBM Offshore's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SBM Offshore NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about SBM Offshore for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SBM Offshore NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SBM Offshore NV has accumulated about 605 M in cash with (755 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.4. | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out SBM Offshore Backtesting, SBM Offshore Valuation, SBM Offshore Correlation, SBM Offshore Hype Analysis, SBM Offshore Volatility, SBM Offshore History as well as SBM Offshore Performance. Note that the SBM Offshore NV information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other SBM Offshore's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for SBM Pink Sheet analysis
When running SBM Offshore's price analysis, check to measure SBM Offshore's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SBM Offshore is operating at the current time. Most of SBM Offshore's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SBM Offshore's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SBM Offshore's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SBM Offshore to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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