Sintx Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.14
| SINT Stock | USD 5.87 0.75 11.33% |
SINTX |
SINTX Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 0.14
The tendency of SINTX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.14 or more in 90 days |
| 5.87 | 90 days | 0.14 | about 5.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SINTX Technologies to drop to $ 0.14 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.73 (This SINTX Technologies probability density function shows the probability of SINTX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SINTX Technologies price to stay between $ 0.14 and its current price of $5.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.54 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 7.38 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SINTX Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally SINTX Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. SINTX Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SINTX Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SINTX Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SINTX Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SINTX Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SINTX Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SINTX Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SINTX Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SINTX Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 7.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.002 |
SINTX Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SINTX Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SINTX Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SINTX Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| SINTX Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| SINTX Technologieshas 2,017,536 shares shorted by SINTX Technologies investors is about 300% of outstending shares | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.3 M. | |
| SINTX Technologies currently holds about 4.78 M in cash with (14.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09. | |
| SINTX Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Sintx Technologies receives additional SBIR contract for 3D printing technology |
SINTX Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SINTX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SINTX Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SINTX Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 M |
SINTX Technologies Technical Analysis
SINTX Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SINTX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SINTX Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing SINTX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SINTX Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
SINTX Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many SINTX Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SINTX Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SINTX Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about SINTX Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SINTX Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SINTX Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| SINTX Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| SINTX Technologieshas 2,017,536 shares shorted by SINTX Technologies investors is about 300% of outstending shares | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.3 M. | |
| SINTX Technologies currently holds about 4.78 M in cash with (14.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09. | |
| SINTX Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Sintx Technologies receives additional SBIR contract for 3D printing technology |
Additional Tools for SINTX Stock Analysis
When running SINTX Technologies' price analysis, check to measure SINTX Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SINTX Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of SINTX Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SINTX Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SINTX Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SINTX Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.