Sika Ag Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 261.75
SKFOF Stock | USD 297.78 17.12 6.10% |
Sika |
Sika AG Target Price Odds to finish over 261.75
The tendency of Sika Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 261.75 in 90 days |
297.78 | 90 days | 261.75 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sika AG to stay above $ 261.75 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sika AG probability density function shows the probability of Sika Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sika AG price to stay between $ 261.75 and its current price of $297.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.97 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sika AG has a beta of 0.99. This usually implies Sika AG market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Sika AG is expected to follow. Additionally Sika AG has an alpha of 0.069, implying that it can generate a 0.069 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sika AG Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Sika AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sika AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sika AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sika AG Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sika AG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sika AG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sika AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sika AG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Sika AG Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sika Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sika AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sika AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 143 M |
Sika AG Technical Analysis
Sika AG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sika Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sika AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sika Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sika AG Predictive Forecast Models
Sika AG's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sika AG's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sika AG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Sika AG in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Sika AG's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Sika AG options trading.
Check out Sika AG Backtesting, Sika AG Valuation, Sika AG Correlation, Sika AG Hype Analysis, Sika AG Volatility, Sika AG History as well as Sika AG Performance. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Complementary Tools for Sika Pink Sheet analysis
When running Sika AG's price analysis, check to measure Sika AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sika AG is operating at the current time. Most of Sika AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sika AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sika AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sika AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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