Ab Skf Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 22.02

SKFRY Stock  USD 22.02  0.38  1.76%   
AB SKF's future price is the expected price of AB SKF instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AB SKF performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AB SKF Backtesting, AB SKF Valuation, AB SKF Correlation, AB SKF Hype Analysis, AB SKF Volatility, AB SKF History as well as AB SKF Performance.
  
Please specify AB SKF's target price for which you would like AB SKF odds to be computed.

AB SKF Target Price Odds to finish over 22.02

The tendency of SKFRY Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22.02 90 days 22.02 
about 10.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AB SKF to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.78 (This AB SKF probability density function shows the probability of SKFRY Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.18 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AB SKF will likely underperform. Additionally AB SKF has an alpha of 0.0156, implying that it can generate a 0.0156 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AB SKF Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AB SKF

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AB SKF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AB SKF's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5022.0223.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.0121.5323.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AB SKF. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AB SKF's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AB SKF's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AB SKF.

AB SKF Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AB SKF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AB SKF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AB SKF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AB SKF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

AB SKF Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SKFRY Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AB SKF's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AB SKF's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding455.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.7 B

AB SKF Technical Analysis

AB SKF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SKFRY Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AB SKF. In general, you should focus on analyzing SKFRY Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AB SKF Predictive Forecast Models

AB SKF's time-series forecasting models is one of many AB SKF's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AB SKF's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards AB SKF in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, AB SKF's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from AB SKF options trading.
Check out AB SKF Backtesting, AB SKF Valuation, AB SKF Correlation, AB SKF Hype Analysis, AB SKF Volatility, AB SKF History as well as AB SKF Performance.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

Complementary Tools for SKFRY Pink Sheet analysis

When running AB SKF's price analysis, check to measure AB SKF's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AB SKF is operating at the current time. Most of AB SKF's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AB SKF's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AB SKF's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AB SKF to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between AB SKF's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AB SKF is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AB SKF's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.