Torunlar Gayrimenkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 45.96
| TRGYO Stock | TRY 45.96 0.32 0.70% |
Torunlar |
Torunlar Gayrimenkul Target Price Odds to finish over 45.96
The tendency of Torunlar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 45.96 | 90 days | 45.96 | about 27.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Torunlar Gayrimenkul to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 27.24 (This Torunlar Gayrimenkul Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of Torunlar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Torunlar Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a beta of -0.0813. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Torunlar Gayrimenkul are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Torunlar Gayrimenkul Yatirim is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Torunlar Gayrimenkul Yatirim has an alpha of 0.3461, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Torunlar Gayrimenkul Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Torunlar Gayrimenkul
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Torunlar Gayrimenkul. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Torunlar Gayrimenkul's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Torunlar Gayrimenkul Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Torunlar Gayrimenkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Torunlar Gayrimenkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Torunlar Gayrimenkul Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Torunlar Gayrimenkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Torunlar Gayrimenkul Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Torunlar Gayrimenkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Torunlar Gayrimenkul can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has 2.57 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Torunlar Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated 2.57 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 61.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Torunlar Gayrimenkul has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Torunlar Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Torunlar Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Torunlar Gayrimenkul sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Torunlar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Torunlar Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 85.0% of Torunlar Gayrimenkul outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Torunlar Gayrimenkul Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Torunlar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Torunlar Gayrimenkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Torunlar Gayrimenkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1000 M |
Torunlar Gayrimenkul Technical Analysis
Torunlar Gayrimenkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Torunlar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Torunlar Gayrimenkul Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Torunlar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Torunlar Gayrimenkul Predictive Forecast Models
Torunlar Gayrimenkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Torunlar Gayrimenkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Torunlar Gayrimenkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Torunlar Gayrimenkul
Checking the ongoing alerts about Torunlar Gayrimenkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Torunlar Gayrimenkul help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has 2.57 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Torunlar Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated 2.57 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 61.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Torunlar Gayrimenkul has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Torunlar Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Torunlar Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Torunlar Gayrimenkul sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Torunlar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Torunlar Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 85.0% of Torunlar Gayrimenkul outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Torunlar Stock
Torunlar Gayrimenkul financial ratios help investors to determine whether Torunlar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Torunlar with respect to the benefits of owning Torunlar Gayrimenkul security.