Aterian Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ATER Stock | USD 2.38 0.03 1.24% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aterian is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Aterian buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Aterian positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aterian's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Aterian's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 1.85 | Target Price 1.42 | Hype Value 2.56 | Market Value 2.38 | Naive Value 1.91 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aterian given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aterian. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aterian, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Aterian |
Execute Aterian Buy or Sell Advice
The Aterian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aterian. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aterian or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aterian's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Aterian Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Aterian generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aterian has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aterian has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 142.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (74.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 105.52 M. | |
| Aterian currently holds about 34.78 M in cash with (13.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.54. | |
| Aterian has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Aterian Sets Date for First Quarter 2024 Earnings Announcement Investor Conference Call |
Aterian Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Aterian's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aterian's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aterian daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aterian price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aterian returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aterian.
| Mean Return | -0.35 | Value At Risk | -12.53 | Potential Upside | 11.31 | Standard Deviation | 7.16 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aterian historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Aterian Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Aterian is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aterian backward and forwards among themselves. Aterian's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Aterian's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Xtx Topco Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 58 K | Arkadios Wealth Advisors | 40.5 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 39.3 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 38.6 K | Jane Street Group, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 36.6 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 33.6 K | Phoenix Holdings Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 30 K | Apollo Management Holdings, L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 27.3 K | National Asset Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 17.7 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1 M |
Aterian Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (5.4M) | 18.2M | (19.3M) | 19.4M | 26.4M | 27.7M | |
| Investments | (1.3M) | (39.1M) | (44.9M) | (677K) | (853K) | (895.7K) | |
| Change In Cash | 10.1M | (692K) | 8.2M | 8.3M | (24.4M) | (23.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 7.5M | 11.2M | 36.2M | (15.6M) | (14.1M) | (13.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (25.4M) | 5.0M | (42.0M) | (17.6M) | (13.6M) | (14.3M) | |
| Depreciation | 183K | 552K | 7.3M | 7.5M | 3.9M | 3.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.3M | 15.0M | (18.6M) | 137.0M | 34.6M | 26.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 114K | 89K | 32K | 82K | 244K | 256.2K | |
| Net Income | (43.4M) | (63.1M) | (234.7M) | (196.3M) | (74.6M) | (78.3M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 30.8M | 30.1M | 38.3M | 46.6M | 22.1M | 30.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | 34.9M | 57.9M | 196.6M | 132.4M | 152.3M | 77.7M |
Aterian Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aterian or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aterian's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aterian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.56 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Aterian Volatility Alert
Aterian is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aterian's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aterian's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Aterian Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Aterian's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aterian's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aterian and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aterian or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aterian's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aterian by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Aterian to competition |
| Fundamentals | Aterian | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -1.08 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.21 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.52) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.24) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 8.38 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 7.67 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 20.26 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 7.15 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 537.17 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 0.51 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.13 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 142.57 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 105.52 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (32.58 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (74.56 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 34.78 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.54 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 12.15 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.19 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.54 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.40 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (13.39 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.59 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (11.40) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 12.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 114 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.94 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 18.26 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 61.87 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (699.82 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 24.19 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 61.87 M |
Note: Acquisition by Roi Zahut of 103000 shares of Aterian subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Aterian Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aterian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Aterian Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Aterian? Buying financial instruments such as Aterian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 40.4M | 22.7M | 12.1M | 11.5M | Total Assets | 312.1M | 156.4M | 61.9M | 58.8M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Aterian in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Recreation Thematic Idea Now
Recreation
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Recreation theme has 34 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Recreation Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Aterian Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Aterian Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aterian guide.Note that the Aterian information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aterian's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
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When running Aterian's price analysis, check to measure Aterian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aterian is operating at the current time. Most of Aterian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aterian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aterian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aterian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aterian's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aterian. If investors know Aterian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aterian listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (11.40) | Revenue Per Share 21.89 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.40) | Return On Assets (0.21) | Return On Equity (1.08) |
The market value of Aterian is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aterian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aterian's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aterian's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aterian's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aterian's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aterian's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aterian is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aterian's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.