Federated Prudent Bear Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BEARX Fund | USD 5.42 0.02 0.37% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Federated Prudent Bear is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Federated Prudent buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BEARX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Federated Prudent's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Federated Prudent's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 5.02 | Hype Value 5.42 | Market Value 5.42 | Naive Value 5.53 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Federated Prudent Bear given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Federated Prudent. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Federated Prudent Bear, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Federated |
Execute Federated Prudent Buy or Sell Advice
The Federated recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Federated Prudent Bear. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Federated Prudent Bear or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Federated Prudent's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves totally opposite to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details |
Federated Prudent Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Federated Prudent generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| This fund generated-14.0 ten year return of -14.0% | |
| Federated Prudent holds about 138.13% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Federated Prudent Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Federated Prudent's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Federated Prudent's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Federated Prudent daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Federated Prudent Bear price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Federated Prudent returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Federated Prudent.
| Mean Return | -0.04 | Value At Risk | -1.08 | Potential Upside | 1.26 | Standard Deviation | 0.67 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Federated Prudent historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Federated Prudent Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Federated Prudent or Federated sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Federated Prudent's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Federated fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0085 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Federated Prudent Volatility Alert
Federated Prudent Bear exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.39 and kurtosis of -0.05. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Federated Prudent's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Federated Prudent's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Federated Prudent Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Federated Prudent's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Federated Prudent's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Federated Prudent and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Federated Prudent or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Federated Prudent's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Federated Prudent by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Federated Prudent to competition |
| Fundamentals | Federated Prudent | Peer Average |
| Price To Earning | 19.89 X | 6.53 X |
| Price To Book | 2.29 X | 0.74 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.31 X | 0.61 X |
| Annual Yield | 0.14 % | 0.29 % |
| Year To Date Return | 0.52 % | 0.39 % |
| One Year Return | (16.75) % | 4.15 % |
| Three Year Return | (8.92) % | 3.60 % |
| Five Year Return | (13.94) % | 3.24 % |
| Ten Year Return | (14.15) % | 1.79 % |
| Net Asset | 461.87 M | 4.11 B |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.07 | 0.65 |
| Cash Position Weight | 138.13 % | 10.61 % |
| Equity Positions Weight | (152.70) % | 63.90 % |
Federated Prudent Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Federated . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.42 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.42 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.64 |
About Federated Prudent Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Federated Prudent Bear? Buying financial instruments such as Federated Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Federated Prudent Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.