First Community Bancshares Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FCBC Stock | USD 35.51 0.57 1.63% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding First Community Bancshares is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides First Community buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FCBC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of First Community's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting First Community's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 32.26 | Target Price 30 | Hype Value 35.47 | Market Value 35.51 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell First Community Bancshares given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards First Community. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for First Community Bancshares, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
First |
Execute First Community Buy or Sell Advice
The First recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on First Community Bancshares. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in First Community Bancshares or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute First Community's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
First Community Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: First Community Bancshares Lags Q1 Earnings Estimates - Yahoo Movies Canada |
First Community Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of First Community's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of First Community's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of First Community daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use First Community Bancshares price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of First Community returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for First Community.
| Mean Return | 0.09 | Value At Risk | -2.78 | Potential Upside | 3.12 | Standard Deviation | 1.97 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of First Community historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
First Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as First Community is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Community Bancshares backward and forwards among themselves. First Community's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase First Community's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 61.4 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 51.5 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 44.3 K | Sheets Smith Wealth Management | 2023-12-31 | 43.2 K | Panagora Asset Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 42.4 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 42 K | Summit Financial Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 38.4 K | Davenport & Company Llc | 2023-12-31 | 37.9 K | Swiss National Bank | 2023-12-31 | 33.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 966 K |
First Community Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 140.1M | 239.6M | 220.9M | (506.6M) | (54.4M) | (51.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 48.2M | 42.6M | 45.2M | 57.9M | 59.1M | 38.1M | |
| Depreciation | 4.4M | 5.9M | 5.9M | 5.6M | 5.7M | 5.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 399K | (6.0M) | (4.4M) | 1.7M | 14.7M | 8.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 15.1M | 17.9M | 18.1M | 18.5M | 21.1M | 12.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 8.4M | 3.2M | 3.0M | 1.2M | 2.8M | 3.2M | |
| Net Income | 38.8M | 35.9M | 51.2M | 46.7M | 48.0M | 26.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 217.0M | 456.6M | 677.4M | 170.8M | 116.4M | 136.9M | |
| Investments | 148.7M | 16.2M | 33.7M | (480.4M) | 288.7M | 303.1M | |
| Net Borrowings | (27.8M) | (677K) | 572K | 338K | 388.7K | 408.1K | |
| Change To Netincome | 13.6M | 8.7M | (5.2M) | 9.0M | 8.1M | 9.0M |
First Community Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First Community or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First Community's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
First Community Volatility Alert
First Community Bancshares currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.0 and Jensen Alpha of -0.04. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure First Community's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact First Community's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.First Community Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing First Community's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze First Community's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between First Community and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as First Community or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of First Community's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Community by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare First Community to competition |
| Fundamentals | First Community | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0156 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.31 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.44 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 405.95 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 18.41 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 15.74 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 35.90 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 161.22 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 15.50 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.17 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.75 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 174.62 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 143.27 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.73 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 48.02 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 229.1 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 14.08 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.74 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 6.18 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 27.53 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 61.83 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.80 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.64 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.70 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 33.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 616 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.51 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 653.85 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.27 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 319.9 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | |
| Five Year Return | 3.26 % |
Note: Disposition of 1105 shares by C Davis of First Community subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
First Community Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About First Community Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell First Community Bancshares? Buying financial instruments such as First Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 2.3M | 2.5M | 1.7M | 1.7M | Total Assets | 3.2B | 3.1B | 3.3B | 2.3B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having First Community in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Wireless Thematic Idea Now
Wireless
Companies providing wireless technology and communication services. The Wireless theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Wireless Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out First Community Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.Note that the First Community Banc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other First Community's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Community's price analysis, check to measure First Community's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Community is operating at the current time. Most of First Community's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Community's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Community's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Community to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is First Community's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Community. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Community listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 1.16 | Earnings Share 2.64 | Revenue Per Share 8.663 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.1 |
The market value of First Community Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Community's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Community's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Community's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Community's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Community's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Community is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Community's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.