Alphabet Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GOOGL
 Stock
  

USD 2,175  4.51  0.21%   

Assuming the 90 days horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Alphabet Cl A is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alphabet buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alphabet positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alphabet's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Alphabet's buy-and-hold perspective. Please check Alphabet Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alphabet and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Alphabet Cl A.

Execute Alphabet Buy or Sell Advice

The Alphabet recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alphabet Cl A. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alphabet Cl A or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alphabet's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AlphabetBuy Alphabet
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Alphabet Cl A has a Mean Deviation of 2.07, Standard Deviation of 2.51 and Variance of 6.28
Macroaxis provides advice on Alphabet Cl A to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Alphabet Cl A. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Alphabet is not overpriced, please confirm all Alphabet Cl A fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and number of employees . Given that Alphabet Cl A has a number of shares shorted of 2.51 M, we suggest you to validate Alphabet Cl A market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alphabet Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alphabet Cl A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Alphabet Cl A is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Alphabet Cl A was previously known as Alphabet Cl C and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol GOOG.
Alphabet Cl A has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Alphabet exotic insider transaction detected

Alphabet current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Alphabet analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Alphabet analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price3,303.83
Target Median Price3,300.00
Target High Price4,533.34
Recommendation Mean1.70
Number Of Analyst Opinions45
Target Low Price2,658.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Alphabet Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alphabet's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Alphabet's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alphabet stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alphabet Cl A price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alphabet returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alphabet stock.
Mean Return-0.38Value At Risk-4.15
Potential Upside4.11Standard Deviation2.51
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alphabet historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alphabet Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Alphabet is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alphabet Cl A backward and forwards among themselves. Alphabet's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Alphabet's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares44.5 M124 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares39.7 M110.7 B
State Street CorpCommon Shares21.5 M59.8 B
Fmr LlcCommon Shares20.7 M57.7 B
Price T Rowe Associates IncCommon Shares18.4 M51.4 B
Geode Capital Management LlcCommon Shares10.3 M28.5 B
Northern Trust CorpCommon Shares6.9 M19.2 B
Citadel Advisors LlcCall Options5.1 M14.3 B
Citadel Advisors LlcPut Options4.8 M13.4 B
Note, although Alphabet's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Alphabet Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(13.18 B)(25.14 B)(23.55 B)(22.28 B)(24.64 B)(25.29 B)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion6.92 B9.04 B11.78 B13.7 B12.44 B10.7 B
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(2.2 B)5.99 B1.8 B7.97 B(5.52 B)(5.67 B)
Net Cash Flow Business Acquisitions and Disposals(287 M)(1.49 B)(2.52 B)(738 M)(2.62 B)(2.69 B)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(9.01 B)(14.07 B)(23.16 B)(36.87 B)(60.44 B)(62.03 B)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(86 M)(61 M)(268 M)9.66 B(1.24 B)(1.27 B)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(8.3 B)(13.18 B)(23.21 B)(24.41 B)(61.36 B)(62.98 B)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(31.4 B)(28.5 B)(29.49 B)(32.77 B)(35.52 B)(38.33 B)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals(18.03 B)(1.97 B)(4.02 B)(9.82 B)(8.81 B)(9.5 B)
Net Cash Flow from Operations37.09 B47.97 B54.52 B65.12 B91.65 B98.89 B
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash405 M(302 M)(23 M)24 M(287 M)(294.55 M)
Share Based Compensation7.68 B9.35 B10.79 B12.99 B15.38 B12.28 B

Alphabet Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alphabet or Communication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alphabet stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alphabet stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.11
β
Beta against DOW1.47
σ
Overall volatility
2.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Alphabet Volatility Alert

Alphabet Cl A exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.16 and kurtosis of -0.8. However, we advise investors to further study Alphabet Cl A technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alphabet's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alphabet's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Alphabet Implied Volatility

Alphabet's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alphabet Cl A stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alphabet's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alphabet stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alphabet's options are near their expiration.

Alphabet Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alphabet's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alphabet's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alphabet and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alphabet or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alphabet's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alphabet by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alphabet to competition
FundamentalsAlphabetPeer Average
Return On Equity30.80 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset15.05 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin27.57 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin35.45 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1400 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding300.81 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders7.70 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions79.85 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted2.51 M4.71 M
Price to Earning21.52 X28.72 X
Price to Book6.07 X9.51 X
Price to Sales5.49 X11.42 X
Revenue270.33 B9.43 B
Gross Profit146.7 B27.38 B
EBITDA95.84 B3.9 B
Net Income74.54 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents133.97 B2.7 B
Cash per Share203.45 X5.01 X
Total Debt28.6 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.11 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.87 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share367.95 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations97.47 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.35 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share103.81 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.19 X4.89 X
Number of Employees163.91 K18.84 K
Beta1.06-0.15
Market Capitalization1480 B19.03 B
Total Asset147.46 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings125.58 B9.33 B
Working Capital70.8 B1.48 B
Current Asset90.11 B9.34 B
   Alphabet exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

About Alphabet Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alphabet Cl A? Buying financial instruments such as Alphabet Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Alphabet investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables25.33 B30.93 B39.3 B42.41 B
Inventories999 M728 M1.17 B929.05 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Alphabet in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Large Blend Thematic Idea Now

Large Blend
Large Blend Theme
Fund or Etfs that invest in stocks of large organizations that have characteristics of both growth and value companies. The Large Blend theme has 40 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Blend Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch Large Blend
Please check Alphabet Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Alphabet Cl A information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alphabet's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

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When running Alphabet Cl A price analysis, check to measure Alphabet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alphabet is operating at the current time. Most of Alphabet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alphabet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alphabet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alphabet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Alphabet's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alphabet. If investors know Alphabet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alphabet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.063
Market Capitalization
1434.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.23
Return On Assets
0.15
Return On Equity
0.31
The market value of Alphabet Cl A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alphabet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alphabet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alphabet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alphabet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alphabet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alphabet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Alphabet value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alphabet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.