Alibaba Group Stock Forecast - Daily Balance Of Power
| BABA Stock | USD 86.70 5.71 7.05% |
Alibaba Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Alibaba Group stock prices and determine the direction of Alibaba Group Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Alibaba Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Alibaba Group's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Alibaba Group's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Alibaba Group fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alibaba Group to cross-verify your projections. Alibaba |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Alibaba Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Alibaba Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Alibaba Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Alibaba Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Alibaba Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to Alibaba Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Alibaba Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Alibaba. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Alibaba Group cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Alibaba Group's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Alibaba Group's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Balance of Power indicator (or BOP) measures the strength of Alibaba Group Holding market sensitivity to bulls and bears. It estimates the ability of Alibaba Group buyers and sellers to push price to an extreme high or extreme low level. As a result, by monitoring Alibaba Group Balance of Power indicator one can determine a trend of the price direction.| Previous Daily Balance Of Power | Daily Balance Of Power | Trend |
| 0.491 | (0.44) |
| Check Alibaba Group Volatility | Backtest Alibaba Group | Trend Details |
Alibaba Group Trading Date Momentum
| On March 07 2024 Alibaba Group Holding was traded for 72.54 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 72.76 and the lowest listed price was 71.76 . The trading volume for the day was 12.4 M. The trading history from March 7, 2024 was a factor to the next trading day price decrease. The overall trading delta against the next closing price was 1.59% . The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.25% . |
Balance of Power indicator was created by Igor Livshin to predict asset short term price movements or warning signals. If Balance of Power indicator is trended towards the high of its range it will signify that the bulls are in control. On the other hand when the BOP indicator is moving towards the lows of its range it signifies that the bears are in control. If the indicator move from a high positive range to a lower positive range it signifies that the buying pressure is decreasing. Conversely, if the indicator move from a low negative range to a higher negative range it signifies that the selling pressure is decreasing.
| Compare Alibaba Group to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Alibaba Group
For every potential investor in Alibaba, whether a beginner or expert, Alibaba Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alibaba Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alibaba. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alibaba Group's price trends.Alibaba Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alibaba Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alibaba Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alibaba Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alibaba Group Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alibaba Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alibaba Group's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Alibaba Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alibaba Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alibaba Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alibaba Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alibaba Group Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3.2 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.9777 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.07 | |||
| Day Median Price | 84.57 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 85.28 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 4.99 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 5.71 |
Alibaba Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Alibaba Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alibaba Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alibaba stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Variance | 5.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.48) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| C | Citigroup | |
| CRM | Salesforce | |
| MSFT | Microsoft |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alibaba Group to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Alibaba Group Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alibaba Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Alibaba Stock analysis
When running Alibaba Group's price analysis, check to measure Alibaba Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alibaba Group is operating at the current time. Most of Alibaba Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alibaba Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alibaba Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alibaba Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Alibaba Group's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alibaba Group. If investors know Alibaba will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alibaba Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.85) | Dividend Share 7.221 | Earnings Share 4.32 | Revenue Per Share 373.072 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.066 |
The market value of Alibaba Group Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alibaba that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alibaba Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alibaba Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alibaba Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alibaba Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alibaba Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alibaba Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alibaba Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.