NAPCO Security Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| NSSC Stock | USD 41.75 1.55 3.86% |
NAPCO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast NAPCO Security stock prices and determine the direction of NAPCO Security Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NAPCO Security's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NAPCO Security to cross-verify your projections. NAPCO |
Most investors in NAPCO Security cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the NAPCO Security's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets NAPCO Security's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which NAPCO Security is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of NAPCO Security Technologies to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by NAPCO Security trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 6923.49 | 14665.49 |
| Check NAPCO Security Volatility | Backtest NAPCO Security | Trend Details |
NAPCO Security Trading Date Momentum
| On April 08 2024 NAPCO Security Technologies was traded for 41.21 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 41.72 and the lowest listed price was 40.98 . The trading volume for the day was 192.2 K. The trading history from April 8, 2024 was a factor to the next trading day price growth. The trading delta at closing time against the next closing price was 0.96% . The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 2.03% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare NAPCO Security to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for NAPCO Security
For every potential investor in NAPCO, whether a beginner or expert, NAPCO Security's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NAPCO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NAPCO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NAPCO Security's price trends.NAPCO Security Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NAPCO Security stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NAPCO Security could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NAPCO Security by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NAPCO Security Techn Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NAPCO Security's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NAPCO Security's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NAPCO Security Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NAPCO Security stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NAPCO Security shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NAPCO Security stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NAPCO Security Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
NAPCO Security Risk Indicators
The analysis of NAPCO Security's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NAPCO Security's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting napco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.19 | |||
| Variance | 10.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards NAPCO Security in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, NAPCO Security's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from NAPCO Security options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NAPCO Security to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for NAPCO Stock analysis
When running NAPCO Security's price analysis, check to measure NAPCO Security's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NAPCO Security is operating at the current time. Most of NAPCO Security's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NAPCO Security's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NAPCO Security's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NAPCO Security to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is NAPCO Security's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NAPCO Security. If investors know NAPCO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NAPCO Security listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of NAPCO Security Techn is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NAPCO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NAPCO Security's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NAPCO Security's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NAPCO Security's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NAPCO Security's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NAPCO Security's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NAPCO Security is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NAPCO Security's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.