Compass Diversified Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| CODI Stock | USD 22.13 0.04 0.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Compass Diversified stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Compass Diversified shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Compass Diversified's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Compass Diversified and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Compass Diversified's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Compass Diversified Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Compass Diversified's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.48 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.1 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.27 | Wall Street Target Price 29.33 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Compass Diversified based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Compass stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Compass Diversified over a specific investment horizon. Using Compass Diversified hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Compass Diversified Holdings from the perspective of Compass Diversified response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Compass Diversified. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Compass Diversified to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Compass because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Compass Diversified after-hype prediction price | USD 22.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Compass |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Compass Diversified's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Compass Diversified After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Compass Diversified at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Compass Diversified or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Compass Diversified, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Compass Diversified Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Compass Diversified's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Compass Diversified's historical news coverage. Compass Diversified's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.39 and 23.81, respectively. We have considered Compass Diversified's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Compass Diversified is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Compass Diversified is based on 3 months time horizon.
Compass Diversified Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Compass Diversified is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Compass Diversified backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Compass Diversified, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.71 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.13 | 22.10 | 0.05 |
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Compass Diversified Hype Timeline
Compass Diversified is currently traded for 22.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Compass is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 22.1 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Compass Diversified is about 9052.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.13. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (38.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 907.74 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Compass Diversified Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Compass Diversified Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Compass Diversified's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Compass Diversified's future price movements. Getting to know how Compass Diversified's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Compass Diversified may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MATW | Matthews International | (0.09) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.82 | (3.98) | 10.42 | |
| SPLP | Steel Partners Holdings | 0.08 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.71 | (3.18) | 9.67 | |
| VMI | Valmont Industries | (2.86) | 9 per month | 1.29 | 0.03 | 1.82 | (2.12) | 17.08 | |
| BBU | Brookfield Business Partners | 0.15 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.45 | (2.82) | 8.36 | |
| GFF | Griffon | 2.85 | 12 per month | 1.64 | 0.09 | 2.93 | (2.53) | 17.23 | |
| TRC | Tejon Ranch Co | (0.14) | 8 per month | 1.32 | (0.02) | 2.90 | (2.15) | 7.24 | |
| MDU | MDU Resources Group | (0.16) | 9 per month | 0.84 | 0.26 | 2.27 | (1.49) | 6.50 | |
| SPLP-PA | Steel Partners Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.30 | (0.12) | 0.80 | (0.70) | 1.67 | |
| CODI-PA | Compass Diversified | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | (0.06) | 1.68 | (1.76) | 6.27 |
Compass Diversified Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Compass price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Compass using various technical indicators. When you analyze Compass charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Compass Diversified Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Compass Diversified stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Compass Diversified Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Compass Diversified based on analysis of Compass Diversified hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Compass Diversified's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Compass Diversified's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.1 | 0.0737 | 0.0996 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.09 | 0.57 | 0.58 |
Story Coverage note for Compass Diversified
The number of cover stories for Compass Diversified depends on current market conditions and Compass Diversified's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Compass Diversified is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Compass Diversified's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Compass Diversified Short Properties
Compass Diversified's future price predictability will typically decrease when Compass Diversified's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Compass Diversified Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Compass Diversified's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compass Diversified's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 450.5 M |
Check out Compass Diversified Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Compass Diversified information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Compass Diversified's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for Compass Stock analysis
When running Compass Diversified's price analysis, check to measure Compass Diversified's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compass Diversified is operating at the current time. Most of Compass Diversified's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compass Diversified's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compass Diversified's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compass Diversified to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Compass Diversified's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Compass Diversified. If investors know Compass will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Compass Diversified listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share (2.41) | Revenue Per Share 28.804 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.083 |
The market value of Compass Diversified is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Compass that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Compass Diversified's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Compass Diversified's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Compass Diversified's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Compass Diversified's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Compass Diversified's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Compass Diversified is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Compass Diversified's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.