Medtronic Plc Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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MDT -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: January 31, 2020  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Medtronic plc which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Medtronic Plc hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Medtronic plc from the prospective of Medtronic Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Medtronic Plc over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Medtronic Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Medtronic Plc After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Medtronic Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
119.03
January 21, 2020
116.54
Downside
118.97
After-hype Price
121.40
Upside
Medtronic Plc is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Medtronic plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Medtronic Plc Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.21  0.82  0.06   0.05  9 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
119.03118.970.05 
273.33  

Medtronic Plc Hype Timeline

On the 21th of January Medtronic plc is traded for 119.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Medtronic plc is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 118.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 273.33%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05% where as daily expected return is now at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Medtronic Plc is about 326.54% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 119.08. About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Medtronic Plc was now reported as 22.24. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.79. Medtronic plc last dividend was issued on 2019-12-26. The entity had 2:1 split on 1999-09-27. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Additionally see Medtronic Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Medtronic Plc Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Edwards Lifesciences Corporatio 2.50 9 per month 0.91 (0.0381)  1.64 (1.64)  6.08 
Digirad Corporation(0.06) 9 per month 0.00 (0.18)  7.20 (6.71)  21.36 
Dynatronics Corporation 0.06 7 per month 3.85  0.0022  7.50 (6.72)  27.66 
ENCISION INC 0.00 6 per month 7.28  0.06  16.67 (9.52)  53.95 
ECHO THERAPEUTICS INC 0.00 9 per month 23.65  0.18  94.44 (60.00)  526.67 
EDAP TMS SA 0.03 8 per month 0.00 (0.11)  4.33 (3.99)  12.83 
Electromed(0.06) 8 per month 3.31  0.12  6.08 (4.89)  45.72 
ESCALON MEDICAL CORP 0.00 6 per month 9.99  0.1  22.39 (23.53)  97.23 
Establishment Labs Holdings 0.04 4 per month 1.33  0.12  4.35 (2.84)  11.80 
Second Sight Medical Products 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13)  7.59 (7.06)  21.06 

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Additionally see Medtronic Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
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