Correlation Between Tax Exempt and American High-income

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Tax Exempt and American High-income at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Tax Exempt and American High-income into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Tax Exempt Bond and American High Income Municipal, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Tax Exempt and American High-income and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Tax Exempt with a short position of American High-income. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Tax Exempt and American High-income.

Diversification Opportunities for Tax Exempt and American High-income

0.9
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Tax and American is 0.9. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Tax Exempt Bond and American High Income Municipal in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on American High Income and Tax Exempt is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Tax Exempt Bond are associated (or correlated) with American High-income. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of American High Income has no effect on the direction of Tax Exempt i.e., Tax Exempt and American High-income go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Tax Exempt and American High-income

Assuming the 90 days horizon Tax Exempt Bond is expected to under-perform the American High-income. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Tax Exempt Bond is 1.21 times less risky than American High-income. The mutual fund trades about -0.32 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The American High Income Municipal is currently generating about -0.16 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,497  in American High Income Municipal on March 5, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (8.00) from holding American High Income Municipal or give up 0.53% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Tax Exempt Bond  vs.  American High Income Municipal

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Tax Exempt Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Tax Exempt Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Tax Exempt is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
American High Income 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days American High Income Municipal has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, American High-income is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Tax Exempt and American High-income Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Tax Exempt and American High-income

The main advantage of trading using opposite Tax Exempt and American High-income positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Tax Exempt position performs unexpectedly, American High-income can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American High-income will offset losses from the drop in American High-income's long position.
The idea behind Tax Exempt Bond and American High Income Municipal pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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