American Battery Technology Stock Price Prediction
| ABAT Stock | 1.43 0.03 2.05% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
American Battery Tec stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of American Battery shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of American Battery's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of American Battery and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from American Battery's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Battery Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting American Battery's stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Current Year (0.75) | Wall Street Target Price 41.25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.15) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of American Battery based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The American stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Battery over a specific investment horizon. Using American Battery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Battery Technology from the perspective of American Battery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in American Battery. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Battery to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
American Battery after-hype prediction price | USD 1.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
American |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Battery's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Battery After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Battery at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Battery or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Battery, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Battery Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Battery's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Battery's historical news coverage. American Battery's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 7.04, respectively. We have considered American Battery's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Battery is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Battery Tec is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Battery Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Battery is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Battery backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Battery, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.55 | 5.60 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.43 | 1.44 | 0.70 |
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American Battery Hype Timeline
American Battery Tec is presently traded for 1.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. American is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.7%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.55%. The volatility of related hype on American Battery is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.43. Net Loss for the year was (21.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out American Battery Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.American Battery Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Battery's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Battery's future price movements. Getting to know how American Battery's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Battery may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARRNF | American Rare Earths | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 11.76 | (12.50) | 41.25 | |
| CYDVF | Cypress Development Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 12.12 | (9.84) | 50.85 | |
| JRVMF | Jervois Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 11.76 | (10.53) | 31.93 | |
| AZLAF | Arizona Lithium Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.04 | 0.04 | 25.00 | (18.00) | 60.50 | |
| SYAXF | Sayona Mining Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 14.44 | (11.04) | 28.54 | |
| NVLIF | Nova Lithium Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 151.30 | |
| TELHF | Tearlach Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.81 | 0.01 | 16.73 | (22.19) | 144.33 |
American Battery Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About American Battery Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of American Battery stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Battery Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Battery based on analysis of American Battery hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Battery's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Battery's related companies. Story Coverage note for American Battery
The number of cover stories for American Battery depends on current market conditions and American Battery's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Battery is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Battery's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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American Battery Short Properties
American Battery's future price predictability will typically decrease when American Battery's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Battery Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Battery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Battery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 M |
Check out American Battery Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the American Battery Tec information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Battery's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis
When running American Battery's price analysis, check to measure American Battery's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Battery is operating at the current time. Most of American Battery's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Battery's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Battery's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Battery to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is American Battery's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Battery. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Battery listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (7.35) | Return On Assets (0.21) | Return On Equity (0.39) |
The market value of American Battery Tec is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Battery's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Battery's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Battery's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Battery's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Battery's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Battery is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Battery's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.