Liberty Latin America Stock Price Prediction
| LILA Stock | USD 7.97 0.23 2.97% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Liberty Latin America stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Liberty Latin shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Liberty Latin's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Liberty Latin and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Liberty Latin's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Liberty Latin America, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Liberty Latin's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.13) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8 | Wall Street Target Price 10.68 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Liberty Latin based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Liberty stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Liberty Latin over a specific investment horizon. Using Liberty Latin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Liberty Latin America from the perspective of Liberty Latin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Liberty Latin using Liberty Latin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Liberty using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Liberty Latin's stock price.
Liberty Latin Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Liberty Latin's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Liberty. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Liberty Latin stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Liberty Latin may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Liberty Latin and may potentially protect profits, hedge Liberty Latin with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 7.4008 | Short Percent 0.007 | Short Ratio 0.36 | Shares Short Prior Month 234.5 K | 50 Day MA 6.9026 |
Liberty Latin America Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Liberty Latin's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Liberty. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Liberty can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Liberty Latin America. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Liberty Latin's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Liberty Latin.
Liberty Latin Implied Volatility | 63.11 |
Liberty Latin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Liberty Latin America stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Liberty Latin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Liberty Latin stock will not fluctuate a lot when Liberty Latin's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Liberty Latin. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Liberty Latin to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Liberty because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Liberty Latin after-hype prediction price | USD 7.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Liberty |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liberty Latin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Liberty Latin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Liberty Latin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Liberty Latin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Liberty Latin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Liberty Latin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Liberty Latin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Liberty Latin's historical news coverage. Liberty Latin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.06 and 10.92, respectively. We have considered Liberty Latin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Liberty Latin is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Liberty Latin America is based on 3 months time horizon.
Liberty Latin Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Liberty Latin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Liberty Latin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Liberty Latin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.93 | 0.08 | 1.40 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.97 | 7.99 | 0.62 |
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Liberty Latin Hype Timeline
Liberty Latin America is now traded for 7.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.4. Liberty is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.62%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Liberty Latin is about 77.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.37. About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.84. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Liberty Latin America recorded a loss per share of 0.35. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1061:1000 split on the 11th of September 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Liberty Latin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Liberty Latin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Liberty Latin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Liberty Latin's future price movements. Getting to know how Liberty Latin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Liberty Latin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TMUS | T Mobile | 1.75 | 7 per month | 0.46 | (0.07) | 0.92 | (0.72) | 3.38 | |
| LUMN | Lumen Technologies | 0.03 | 11 per month | 3.57 | (0) | 6.57 | (6.15) | 24.92 | |
| CMCSA | Comcast Corp | 1.47 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.85 | (3.49) | 8.07 | |
| CHTR | Charter Communications | 15.65 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.03 | (4.40) | 19.65 | |
| VOD | Vodafone Group PLC | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.11 | (3.32) | 8.34 |
Liberty Latin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Liberty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Liberty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Liberty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Liberty Latin Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Liberty Latin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Liberty Latin America, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Liberty Latin based on analysis of Liberty Latin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Liberty Latin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Liberty Latin's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0135 | 0.012 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.34 | 0.32 |
Story Coverage note for Liberty Latin
The number of cover stories for Liberty Latin depends on current market conditions and Liberty Latin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Liberty Latin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Liberty Latin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Liberty Latin Short Properties
Liberty Latin's future price predictability will typically decrease when Liberty Latin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Liberty Latin America often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Liberty Latin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liberty Latin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 210 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 988.6 M |
Check out Liberty Latin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Complementary Tools for Liberty Stock analysis
When running Liberty Latin's price analysis, check to measure Liberty Latin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Liberty Latin is operating at the current time. Most of Liberty Latin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Liberty Latin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Liberty Latin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Liberty Latin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Liberty Latin's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Liberty Latin. If investors know Liberty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Liberty Latin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Earnings Share (0.35) | Revenue Per Share 21.481 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 | Return On Assets 0.0285 |
The market value of Liberty Latin America is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Liberty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Liberty Latin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Liberty Latin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Liberty Latin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Liberty Latin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Liberty Latin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Liberty Latin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Liberty Latin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.