American Century Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 14.64

AMDVX -- USA Fund  

USD 16.14  0.01  0.06%

American Century probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of American Century Mid Cap Value performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify American Century time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like American Century odds to be computed. Check also American Century Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, American Century Correlation, American Century Hype Analysis, American Century Volatility, American Century History as well as American Century Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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American Century Target Price Odds to finish over 14.64

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 14.64  in 30 days
 16.14 30 days 14.64 
CLOSE TO 99%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of American Century to stay above $ 14.64  in 30 days from now is close to 99% (This American Century Mid Cap Value probability density function shows the probability of American Century Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of American Century Mid price to stay between $ 14.64  and its current price of $16.14 at the end of the 30-day period is more than 94.0%.
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, American Century has beta of 0.8996 . This suggests American Century Mid Cap Value market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, American Century is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0268 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0268% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 American Century Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.026764
β
Beta against DOW=0.90
σ
Overall volatility
=0.34
Ir
Information ratio =0.026556

American Century Alerts and Suggestions

Latest headline from newssmooth.com: Upside, Well-Positioned For Growth Invesco Ltd., - NewsSmooth
The fund holds 97.28% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

American CenturyPrice Density Drivers

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