Blue Square (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12841.5
| BLSR Stock | ILS 28,540 60.00 0.21% |
Blue |
Blue Square Target Price Odds to finish over 12841.5
The tendency of Blue Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above S 12,842 in 90 days |
| 28,540 | 90 days | 12,842 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blue Square to stay above S 12,842 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Blue Square Real probability density function shows the probability of Blue Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blue Square Real price to stay between S 12,842 and its current price of S28540.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Blue Square Real has a beta of -0.55 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Blue Square are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Blue Square Real is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Blue Square Real has an alpha of 0.4566, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Blue Square Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Blue Square
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Square Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blue Square's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Blue Square Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blue Square is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blue Square's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blue Square Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blue Square within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1,764 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Blue Square Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blue Square for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blue Square Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Blue Square Real has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Blue Square Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blue Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blue Square's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blue Square's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.7 M |
Blue Square Technical Analysis
Blue Square's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blue Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blue Square Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blue Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Blue Square Predictive Forecast Models
Blue Square's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blue Square's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blue Square's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Blue Square Real
Checking the ongoing alerts about Blue Square for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blue Square Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Blue Square Real has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Blue Square Backtesting, Blue Square Valuation, Blue Square Correlation, Blue Square Hype Analysis, Blue Square Volatility, Blue Square History as well as Blue Square Performance. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Complementary Tools for Blue Stock analysis
When running Blue Square's price analysis, check to measure Blue Square's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Square is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Square's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Square's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Square's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Square to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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