Albireo Pharma Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

ALBODelisted Stock  USD 44.15  0.75  1.67%   
Albireo Pharma's likelihood of distress is above 80% at this time. It has very high risk of going through financial crisis in the upcoming years. Odds of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Albireo balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
  

Albireo Pharma Company odds of distress Analysis

Albireo Pharma's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Albireo Pharma Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 100%  
Most of Albireo Pharma's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Albireo Pharma is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Albireo Pharma probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Albireo Pharma odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Albireo Pharma financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Albireo Pharma's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Albireo Pharma is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Albireo Pharma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Albireo Pharma has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 100%. This is 131.0% higher than that of the Biotechnology sector and 82.35% higher than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 151.07% lower than that of the firm.

Albireo Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Albireo Pharma's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Albireo Pharma could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Albireo Pharma by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Albireo Pharma is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Albireo Fundamentals

About Albireo Pharma Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Albireo Pharma's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Albireo Pharma using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Albireo Pharma based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Albireo Pharma in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Albireo Pharma's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Albireo Pharma options trading.

Pair Trading with Albireo Pharma

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Albireo Pharma position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Albireo Pharma will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Albireo Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Albireo Pharma could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Albireo Pharma when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Albireo Pharma - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Albireo Pharma to buy it.
The correlation of Albireo Pharma is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Albireo Pharma moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Albireo Pharma moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Albireo Pharma can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Note that the Albireo Pharma information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Albireo Pharma's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Albireo Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Albireo Pharma check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Albireo Pharma's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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