Walt Disney Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Name: Disney Next Fiscal Year End
Start: 2024-11-13
End: 2024-11-13
Location: Walt Disney

DIS Stock

USD 90.38 0.57 0.63%

Disney's odds of distress is less than 5% at this time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial crisis in the next 24 months. Disney's Probability of financial unrest is determined by interpolating and adjusting Disney Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Disney balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Disney Piotroski F Score and Disney Altman Z Score analysis.

Market Cap is likely to gain to about 109.2 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 119 B in 2024

Walt Disney Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Disney's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Disney Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 5%

Most of Disney's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Walt Disney is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Disney probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Disney odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Walt Disney financial health.

Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Disney. If investors know Disney will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Disney listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.486

Dividend Share

0.75

Earnings Share

2.61

Revenue Per Share

49.209

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.037

The market value of Walt Disney is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Disney that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Disney's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Disney's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Disney's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Disney's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Disney's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Disney is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Disney's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Disney Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Disney is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Disney Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Disney's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Disney's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Disney's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Total Liab	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Good Will	Current Deferred Revenue	Total Permanent Equity	Deferred Long Term Liab	Net Tangible Assets	Short Long Term Debt	Long Term Debt Total	Long Term Investments	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock	Accumulated Depreciation
Total Assets		0.99	0.96	-0.05	0.99	-0.06	0.95	0.99	0.51	0.42	0.83	0.97	0.62	0.8	0.98	0.74	0.76	0.95	-0.45	0.61	0.91	0.6	0.8	0.93	0.73	0.94	-0.31
Total Stockholder Equity	0.99		0.92	-0.03	0.97	-0.14	0.94	0.98	0.45	0.34	0.81	0.93	0.6	0.77	0.96	0.75	0.72	0.93	-0.35	0.55	0.85	0.53	0.76	0.91	0.67	0.93	-0.29
Net Debt	0.96	0.92		-0.05	0.98	0.15	0.95	0.94	0.66	0.57	0.84	0.96	0.61	0.81	0.96	0.68	0.78	0.94	-0.66	0.76	0.93	0.64	0.77	0.92	0.73	0.9	-0.32
Retained Earnings	-0.05	-0.03	-0.05		-0.05	0.13	0.15	-0.04	0.31	-0.57	0.24	-0.19	-0.77	0.38	-0.22	0.38	0.17	-0.32	0.15	0.07	-0.2	0.06	-0.25	-0.26	-0.19	-0.27	0.15
Total Liab	0.99	0.97	0.98	-0.05		0.02	0.95	0.99	0.56	0.47	0.84	0.98	0.61	0.81	0.98	0.71	0.78	0.95	-0.53	0.66	0.93	0.65	0.83	0.93	0.77	0.93	-0.33
Accounts Payable	-0.06	-0.14	0.15	0.13	0.02		0.08	-0.09	0.34	0.35	0.16	0.03	-0.07	0.12	-0.05	-0.16	0.0	-0.05	-0.65	0.22	0.13	0.15	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	-0.14	-0.33
Net Receivables	0.95	0.94	0.95	0.15	0.95	0.08		0.94	0.67	0.37	0.84	0.88	0.43	0.82	0.91	0.73	0.77	0.86	-0.54	0.72	0.82	0.62	0.64	0.83	0.6	0.83	-0.24
Total Current Assets	0.99	0.98	0.94	-0.04	0.99	-0.09	0.94		0.5	0.38	0.82	0.96	0.59	0.8	0.96	0.7	0.74	0.93	-0.45	0.59	0.9	0.64	0.84	0.92	0.79	0.92	-0.28
Short Term Debt	0.51	0.45	0.66	0.31	0.56	0.34	0.67	0.5		0.41	0.63	0.48	0.11	0.64	0.49	0.45	0.57	0.45	-0.74	0.87	0.51	0.42	0.28	0.46	0.27	0.41	-0.02
Intangible Assets	0.42	0.34	0.57	-0.57	0.47	0.35	0.37	0.38	0.41		0.37	0.56	0.77	0.28	0.57	0.14	0.24	0.63	-0.78	0.59	0.66	0.29	0.49	0.63	0.45	0.57	-0.27
Common Stock	0.83	0.81	0.84	0.24	0.84	0.16	0.84	0.82	0.63	0.37		0.79	0.42	0.96	0.79	0.86	0.64	0.76	-0.5	0.55	0.84	0.48	0.75	0.83	0.6	0.8	-0.3
Long Term Debt	0.97	0.93	0.96	-0.19	0.98	0.03	0.88	0.96	0.48	0.56	0.79		0.71	0.77	0.98	0.65	0.74	0.97	-0.56	0.62	0.97	0.65	0.89	0.96	0.84	0.95	-0.36
Treasury Stock	0.62	0.6	0.61	-0.77	0.61	-0.07	0.43	0.59	0.11	0.77	0.42	0.71		0.27	0.75	0.24	0.29	0.82	-0.43	0.31	0.74	0.25	0.71	0.8	0.56	0.8	-0.34
Property Plant Equipment	0.8	0.77	0.81	0.38	0.81	0.12	0.82	0.8	0.64	0.28	0.96	0.77	0.27		0.73	0.89	0.71	0.69	-0.45	0.57	0.81	0.56	0.72	0.77	0.64	0.74	-0.2
Good Will	0.98	0.96	0.96	-0.22	0.98	-0.05	0.91	0.96	0.49	0.57	0.79	0.98	0.75	0.73		0.68	0.72	0.99	-0.52	0.64	0.94	0.57	0.82	0.97	0.74	0.97	-0.33
Current Deferred Revenue	0.74	0.75	0.68	0.38	0.71	-0.16	0.73	0.7	0.45	0.14	0.86	0.65	0.24	0.89	0.68		0.62	0.63	-0.13	0.42	0.67	0.36	0.58	0.72	0.41	0.72	-0.2
Total Permanent Equity	0.76	0.72	0.78	0.17	0.78	0.0	0.77	0.74	0.57	0.24	0.64	0.74	0.29	0.71	0.72	0.62		0.69	-0.38	0.66	0.7	0.7	0.56	0.68	0.57	0.68	-0.22
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.95	0.93	0.94	-0.32	0.95	-0.05	0.86	0.93	0.45	0.63	0.76	0.97	0.82	0.69	0.99	0.63	0.69		-0.52	0.6	0.95	0.55	0.84	0.98	0.75	0.98	-0.35
Net Tangible Assets	-0.45	-0.35	-0.66	0.15	-0.53	-0.65	-0.54	-0.45	-0.74	-0.78	-0.5	-0.56	-0.43	-0.45	-0.52	-0.13	-0.38	-0.52		-0.77	-0.63	-0.46	-0.42	-0.51	-0.48	-0.43	0.18
Short Long Term Debt	0.61	0.55	0.76	0.07	0.66	0.22	0.72	0.59	0.87	0.59	0.55	0.62	0.31	0.57	0.64	0.42	0.66	0.6	-0.77		0.62	0.56	0.36	0.58	0.38	0.55	-0.04
Long Term Debt Total	0.91	0.85	0.93	-0.2	0.93	0.13	0.82	0.9	0.51	0.66	0.84	0.97	0.74	0.81	0.94	0.67	0.7	0.95	-0.63	0.62		0.62	0.92	0.97	0.84	0.94	-0.39
Long Term Investments	0.6	0.53	0.64	0.06	0.65	0.15	0.62	0.64	0.42	0.29	0.48	0.65	0.25	0.56	0.57	0.36	0.7	0.55	-0.46	0.56	0.62		0.57	0.53	0.58	0.52	-0.14
Cash And Equivalents	0.8	0.76	0.77	-0.25	0.83	-0.04	0.64	0.84	0.28	0.49	0.75	0.89	0.71	0.72	0.82	0.58	0.56	0.84	-0.42	0.36	0.92	0.57		0.89	0.91	0.87	-0.35
Net Invested Capital	0.93	0.91	0.92	-0.26	0.93	-0.03	0.83	0.92	0.46	0.63	0.83	0.96	0.8	0.77	0.97	0.72	0.68	0.98	-0.51	0.58	0.97	0.53	0.89		0.75	0.99	-0.34
Net Working Capital	0.73	0.67	0.73	-0.19	0.77	0.02	0.6	0.79	0.27	0.45	0.6	0.84	0.56	0.64	0.74	0.41	0.57	0.75	-0.48	0.38	0.84	0.58	0.91	0.75		0.72	-0.24
Capital Stock	0.94	0.93	0.9	-0.27	0.93	-0.14	0.83	0.92	0.41	0.57	0.8	0.95	0.8	0.74	0.97	0.72	0.68	0.98	-0.43	0.55	0.94	0.52	0.87	0.99	0.72		-0.29
Accumulated Depreciation	-0.31	-0.29	-0.32	0.15	-0.33	-0.33	-0.24	-0.28	-0.02	-0.27	-0.3	-0.36	-0.34	-0.2	-0.33	-0.2	-0.22	-0.35	0.18	-0.04	-0.39	-0.14	-0.35	-0.34	-0.24	-0.29

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Disney

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Walt Disney has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 90.31% lower than that of the Entertainment sector and significantly higher than that of the Communication Services industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.

Disney Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Disney's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Disney could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Disney by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Disney is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Disney Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Net Debt	40.7B	38.4B	36.8B	32.2B	37.1B	38.9B
Total Current Liabilities	26.6B	31.1B	29.1B	31.1B	35.8B	37.6B
Non Current Liabilities Total	77.4B	70.3B	66.2B	61.4B	70.6B	74.2B
Total Assets	201.5B	203.6B	203.6B	205.6B	236.4B	248.2B
Total Current Assets	35.3B	33.7B	29.1B	32.8B	37.7B	39.6B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	7.6B	5.6B	6.0B	9.9B	11.3B	6.6B

Disney ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Disney's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Disney's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Disney Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0546
	Return On Asset	0.0362
	Profit Margin	0.05 %
	Operating Margin	0.15 %
	Current Valuation	204.51 B
	Shares Outstanding	1.81 B
	Shares Owned By Institutions	69.50 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	21.11 M
	Price To Earning	56.03 X
	Price To Book	1.62 X
	Price To Sales	1.82 X
	Revenue	88.9 B
	Gross Profit	29.7 B
	EBITDA	15.83 B
	Net Income	3.39 B
	Cash And Equivalents	14.18 B
	Cash Per Share	6.52 X
	Total Debt	46.43 B
	Debt To Equity	0.45 %
	Current Ratio	1.00 X
	Book Value Per Share	55.41 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	9.87 B
	Short Ratio	1.54 X
	Earnings Per Share	2.61 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.42 X
	Target Price	100.25
	Number Of Employees	173.25 K
	Beta	1.4
	Market Capitalization	163.91 B
	Total Asset	205.58 B
	Retained Earnings	46.09 B
	Working Capital	1.62 B
	Current Asset	16.97 B
	Current Liabilities	16.84 B
	Annual Yield	0.01 %
	Five Year Return	1.38 %
	Net Asset	205.58 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.75

About Disney Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Walt Disney's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Disney using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Walt Disney based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Disney Stock Analysis

When running Disney's price analysis, check to measure Disney's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Disney is operating at the current time. Most of Disney's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Disney's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Disney's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Disney to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions

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Walt Disney Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Walt Disney Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Disney Probability Of Bankruptcy

Disney Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Disney Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Disney Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Disney ESG Sustainability

Disney Fundamentals

About Disney Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Disney Stock Analysis

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