Simon Property Group Stock Beneish M Score

SPG Stock  USD 146.19  1.78  1.20%   
This module uses fundamental data of Simon Property to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Simon Property M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Simon Property Piotroski F Score and Simon Property Altman Z Score analysis.
  
The Simon Property's current Short Term Debt is estimated to increase to about 4.6 B, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to decrease to roughly 17.5 B. At this time, Simon Property's Book Value Per Share is most likely to drop slightly in the upcoming years. The Simon Property's current Free Cash Flow Yield is estimated to increase to 0.07, while Days Sales Outstanding is projected to decrease to 65.25.
At this time, it appears that Simon Property Group is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Simon Property's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Simon Property executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Simon Property's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.84
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.56

Focus
Asset Quality

0.31

Focus
Expense Coverage

2.84

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.09

Focus
Accruals Factor

2.84

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.11

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.67

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.96

Focus

Simon Property Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Simon Property's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables1.5 B1.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue3.8 B5.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets24 B34.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets1.8 B3.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total23.1 B30.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization974.3 M1.3 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative73.4 M38.5 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities2.6 B3.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total18.3 B27.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt16.8 B25.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt4.6 B2.9 B
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt20.2 B26 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.7 B2.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating ActivitiesB3.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments5.7 B8.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.910.8355
Significantly Up
Very volatile

Simon Property Group Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Simon Property's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Simon Property in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Simon Property's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Simon Property Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

2.04 Billion

At this time, Simon Property's Other Operating Expenses is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.

Simon Property Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Simon Property. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables832.2M1.2B919.7M823.5M1.4B1.5B
Total Revenue5.8B4.6B5.1B5.3B5.7B3.8B
Total Assets31.2B34.8B33.8B33.0B34.3B24.0B
Total Current Assets1.5B2.2B1.8B1.4B3.6B1.8B
Net Debt24.0B26.2B25.3B24.8B25.3B16.8B
Short Term Debt1.3B623.0M500M498.0M2.9B4.6B
Long Term Debt24.2B26.7B25.3B25.0B26.0B20.2B
Operating Income2.9B2.0B2.4B2.6B2.8B1.7B
Investments(214.2M)(3.6B)(40.6M)(57.2M)(1.4B)(1.3B)

Simon Property ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Simon Property's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Simon Property's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Simon Property Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Simon Property Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Simon Property using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Simon Property Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Simon Property Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Simon Property's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Simon Property's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Simon Stock, refer to the following important reports:

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Is Simon Property's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Simon Property. If investors know Simon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Simon Property listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.627
Dividend Share
7.6
Earnings Share
7.85
Revenue Per Share
17.61
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.068
The market value of Simon Property Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Simon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Simon Property's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Simon Property's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Simon Property's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Simon Property's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Simon Property's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Simon Property is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Simon Property's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.