Velocity Financial Llc Stock Beneish M Score

VEL Stock  USD 19.98  0.09  0.45%   
This module uses fundamental data of Velocity Financial to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Velocity Financial M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Velocity Financial Piotroski F Score and Velocity Financial Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Velocity Financial's Long Term Debt Total is quite stable compared to the past year. Net Debt To EBITDA is expected to rise to 26.03 this year, although the value of Short and Long Term Debt Total will most likely fall to about 2.5 B. At this time, Velocity Financial's PB Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Free Cash Flow Per Share is expected to rise to 1.98 this year, although the value of Days Sales Outstanding will most likely fall to 123.62.
At this time, it appears that Velocity Financial Llc is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Velocity Financial's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Velocity Financial executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Velocity Financial's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-1.99
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.02

Focus
Asset Quality

1.06

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.04

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.99

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.25

Focus

Velocity Financial Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Velocity Financial's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables129.7 M120.7 M
Notably Up
Very volatile
Total Revenue355.5 M338.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets2.3 B4.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets72.5 M76.4 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total4.4 B4.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant EquipmentM3.9 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization66.9 M63.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative54.7 M52.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities211.7 M336 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total2.4 BB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt2.5 B3.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.9 B3.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income290.6 M276.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments3.2 B3.8 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term InvestmentsB4.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.940.903
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Velocity Financial Llc Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Velocity Financial's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Velocity Financial in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Velocity Financial's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Velocity Financial Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Operating Income

290.56 Million

At this time, Velocity Financial's Operating Income is quite stable compared to the past year.

Velocity Financial Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Velocity Financial. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables67.7M86.5M89.3M87.2M120.7M129.7M
Total Revenue54.3M66.0M75.9M93.1M338.5M355.5M
Total Assets2.2B2.1B2.8B3.7B4.4B2.3B
Total Current Assets90.3M99.8M125.4M3.4B76.4M72.5M
Net Debt2.0B1.7B2.3B3.2B3.8B2.5B
Short Term Debt421.5M75.9M301.1M330.8M336.0M242.9M
Long Term Debt2.0B1.7B2.1B2.9B3.5B1.9B
Operating Income25.4M23.1M39.8M172.0M276.7M290.6M
Investments(305.9M)87.7M685.2M815.9M(450.0M)(427.5M)

Velocity Financial ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Velocity Financial's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Velocity Financial's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Velocity Financial Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Velocity Financial Llc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Velocity Financial using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Velocity Financial Llc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Velocity Stock

When determining whether Velocity Financial Llc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Velocity Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Velocity Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Velocity Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Velocity Financial Piotroski F Score and Velocity Financial Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Velocity Financial. If investors know Velocity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Velocity Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.163
Earnings Share
1.75
Revenue Per Share
4.672
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.398
Return On Assets
0.0139
The market value of Velocity Financial Llc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Velocity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Velocity Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Velocity Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Velocity Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Velocity Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Velocity Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Velocity Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Velocity Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.