Should you acquire Acuity Brands (NYSE:AYI) based on current technical indicators?

As many millenniums are excited about industrials space, it is only fair to concentrate on Acuity Brands against current market trends. As expected, Acuity Brands is starting to reaffirm its true potential as stockholders are becoming more and more confident in the future outlook. Much of the drifts of the company stock price movements has been an effusion of what is happening in the market overall. The occurrence of stable basic indicators of the company implies a mid-run price swing for stockholders of Acuity. Acuity Brands is scheduled to announce its earnings tomorrow. The next fiscal year end is expected on the 5th of October 2022.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Raphi Shpitalnik

Acuity Brands's average rating is Buy from 7 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Acuity Brands market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Acuity. Let us look at a few aspects of Acuity technical analysis.
Using predictive technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acuity Brands. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing Acuity Brands stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build Acuity Brands's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Acuity Brands's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Acuity Brands, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect Acuity Brands price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acuity Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Acuity Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Acuity Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Acuity Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Acuity Brands.

How important is Acuity Brands's Liquidity

Acuity Brands financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Acuity Brands ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Acuity Brands financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Acuity Brands' owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Acuity Brands' financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Acuity Brands's total debt and its cash.

Acuity Brands Gross Profit

Acuity Brands Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Acuity Brands previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Acuity Brands Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Acuity Brands' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Closer look at Acuity Brands Downside Variance

Acuity Brands has current Downside Variance of 4.27. Downside Variance (or DV) is measured by target semi-variance and is termed downside volatility. It is expressed in percentages and therefore allows for rankings in the same way as variance. One way to view downside volatility is the annualized variance of returns below the target.
Downside Variance is the probability-weighted squared below-target returns. The squaring of the below-target returns has the effect of penalizing failures at an exponential rate. This is consistent with observations made on the behavior of individual decision-making under.
Downside Variance 
 = 
SUM(RET DEV)2 
N(ER) 
 = 
4.27
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual returns deviation over selected period
N(ER) = Number of points with returns less than expected return for the period

Will Acuity Brands growth be real after the rise?

Current Market Risk Adjusted Performance is up to 0.03. Price may drop again. Acuity Brands currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.07 and Jensen Alpha of 0.19. However, we advise investors to further question Acuity Brands expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Acuity Brands' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Acuity Brands' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Our Takeaway on Acuity Brands Investment

While some firms under the electrical equipment & parts industry are still a bit expensive, Acuity Brands may offer a potential longer-term growth to stockholders. The bottom line, as of the 3rd of October 2022, our research shows that Acuity Brands is a rather very steady investment opportunity with a low odds of financial distress in the next two years. From a slightly different view, the entity currently appears to be undervalued. Our latest 90 days buy-hold-sell recommendation on the company is Strong Hold.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Acuity Brands. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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