What is our February take on Orrstown Financial (USA Stocks:ORRF) valuation?

As many baby boomers are still indifferent towards banks space, it makes sense to digest Orrstown Financial Services. What exactly are Orrstown Financial shareholders getting in February? Is the firm valuation sustainable? Here I will cover a perspective on valuation of Orrstown to give you a better outlook on taking a position in this stock.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Raphi Shpitalnik

The company currently holds 33.86 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.18, which may suggest Orrstown Financial is not taking enough advantage from borrowing.
Our recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Orrstown Financial. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time.
We determine the current worth of Orrstown Financial Services using both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at its intrinsic value. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Orrstown Financial based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Orrstown Financial's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Orrstown Financial's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Orrstown Financial. We calculate exposure to Orrstown Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Orrstown Financial's related companies.

Orrstown Financial Investment Alerts

Orrstown investment alerts and warnings help investors to get more proficient at understanding not only critical technical and fundamental signals but also the significant portfolio-centered indicators. These indicators include beta, alpha, and other risk-related measures that will help you in monitoring Orrstown Financial Services performance across your portfolios.Please check all investment alerts for Orrstown

Orrstown Financial Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Orrstown value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Orrstown Financial competition to find correlations between indicators driving the intrinsic value of Orrstown.

Orrstown Financial Gross Profit

Orrstown Financial Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Orrstown Financial previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Orrstown Financial Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Orrstown Financial's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

A Deeper Perspective

The latest indifference towards the small price fluctuations of Orrstown Financial may encourage shareholders to take a closer look at the company as it is trading at a share price of 23.97 on 6,535 in trading volume. The company executives did not add any value to Orrstown Financial investors in December. However, most investors can still diversify their portfolios with Orrstown Financial to hedge their inherited risk against high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 1.8. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for longer-term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors.
 2022 2023 (projected)
Revenues USD111.48 M89.79 M
Revenues110.56 M93.27 M

Margins Breakdown

Orrstown profit margins show the degree to which it makes money. Margin indicators are used not only by investors but also by creditors or Orrstown Financial itself as indicators of financial health and management effectiveness. Please look more closely at the different varieties of Orrstown Financial profit margins.
EBITDA Margin0.32
Gross Margin0.89
Profit Margin25.99
Orrstown Financial Revenue Per Employee is rather stable at the moment. Also, Orrstown Financial Average Assets is rather stable at the moment.

Another small dip for Orrstown Financial

Jensen Alpha just dropped to -0.14, may indicate upcoming price decrease.
As of the 18th of January 2023, Orrstown Financial holds the Semi Deviation of 1.89, risk adjusted performance of 0.0429, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3000.76. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Orrstown Financial, as well as the relationship between them. Put it differently, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past market data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Orrstown Financial, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check Orrstown Financial information ratio, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and kurtosis to decide if Orrstown Financial is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 23.97 per share. Given that Orrstown Financial has jensen alpha of (0.14), we recommend you to check out Orrstown Financial's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

The Bottom Line

When is the right time to buy or sell Orrstown Financial Services? Buying stocks such as Orrstown Financial isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities, deliver winning trades and diversify portfolios on a daily basis.
To sum up, as of the 18th of January 2023, our latest 90 days recommendation on the firm is Buy. We believe Orrstown Financial is currently undervalued with low odds of financial turmoil for the next two years.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Aina Ster do not own shares of Orrstown Financial Services. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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