Winnebago Story

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WGO -- USA Stock  

USD 77.07  0.64  0.82%

With so much uncertainty about the consumer cyclical space, it is fair to outline Winnebago Industries against current market trends. As we have suggested previously, Winnebago Industries is beginning its slide as institutional investors shift to be more bearish due to the increased sector volatility. Winnebago Industries slowly supersedes the market. The returns on investing in Winnebago Industries and the market returns of the last few months appear not sensitive to each other. Persistent technical and fundamental indicators of the company may entail signs of short-term price drift for institutional investors. Winnebago Industries is scheduled to announce its earnings today. The next earnings report is expected on the 23rd of June 2021.
Published over three weeks ago
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Will Winnebago Industries (NYSE:WGO) continue to slide in April?
The company's average rating is Buy from 9 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Winnebago Industries market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Winnebago. Let us look at a few aspects of Winnebago technical analysis. The company has Net Profit Margin of 4.09 %, which may imply that it executes well on its competitive polices and has reasonable control over its expenses and variable costs. This is considered to be average in the sector. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 8.35 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated 0.08 of operating income.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Winnebago Industries. In general, we focus on analyzing Winnebago Industries stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Winnebago Industries's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Winnebago Industries's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Winnebago Industries, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect Winnebago Industries price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Winnebago Industries' stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Winnebago Industries in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Winnebago Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Winnebago Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Winnebago Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Winnebago Industries.

How does Winnebago Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Winnebago Industries competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Winnebago Industries across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out Winnebago Industries Competition Details

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions.
It is good to see analyst projects for Winnebago Industries, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Acquisition by Jacqueline Woods of 568 shares of Winnebago Industries subject to Rule 16b-3

Legal trades by Winnebago Industries insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Winnebago insider trading alert for grant of common stock $.50 par value by Jacqueline Woods, the corporate stakeholder, on 31st of March 2021. This event was filed by Winnebago Industries Inc with SEC on 2021-03-31. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4 [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

Closer look at Winnebago Industries Mean Deviation

Winnebago Industries has current Mean Deviation of 2.4. The mean deviation of the equity instrument is the first measure of the distances between each value of security historical prices and the mean. It gives us an idea of how spread out from the center the distribution of returns.

Mean Deviation is the average of the absolute values of the differences between price distribution numbers and their mean. Mean deviation of equity instrument with a lot of historical data is a biased estimator because the time horizon used in calculation will always be much smaller than the entire price history of the equity. The mean deviation is typically used as a measure of dispersion for small investment horizon, otherwise standard deviation is a better measure of dispersion.

Mean Deviation 
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Sum of return deviations of Winnebago Industries
N = Number of calculation points for selected time horizon
Let's now compare Winnebago Industries Mean Deviation to its closest peers:

Will Winnebago Industries eventually start a bounce-back?

Latest skewness is at -0.27. Winnebago Industries currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.11 and Jensen Alpha of 0.42. However, we advise investors to further question Winnebago Industries expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Winnebago Industries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Winnebago Industries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Whereas other companies under the recreational vehicles industry are still a bit expensive, Winnebago Industries may offer a potential longer-term growth to institutional investors. To conclude, as of the 24th of March 2021, we see that Winnebago Industries slowly supersedes the market. The company is fairly valued with very low chance of distress within the next 24 months. Our overall 30 days buy vs. sell advice on the company is Hold.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Achuva Shats do not own shares of Winnebago Industries. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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