The company's average rating is Buy from 9 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Winnebago Industries market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Winnebago. Let us look at a few aspects of Winnebago technical analysis. The company has Net Profit Margin of
4.09 %, which may imply that it executes well on its competitive polices and has reasonable control over its expenses and variable costs. This is considered to be average in the sector. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of
8.35 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated 0.08 of operating income.
Using predictive
technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and
diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Winnebago Industries. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing Winnebago Industries stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build Winnebago Industries's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as
momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional
technical analysis and
fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Winnebago Industries's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Winnebago Industries, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect Winnebago Industries price patterns. Please read more on our
technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed
many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Winnebago Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Winnebago Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Winnebago Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Winnebago Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Winnebago Industries.
How important is Winnebago Industries's Liquidity
Winnebago Industries
financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Winnebago Industries ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Winnebago Industries financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Winnebago Industries' owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Winnebago Industries' financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the
breakdown between Winnebago Industries's total debt and its cash.
Winnebago Industries Gross Profit
Winnebago Industries Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Winnebago Industries previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Winnebago Industries Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Winnebago Industries'
gross profit and other
fundamental indicators for more details.
Closer look at Winnebago Industries Mean Deviation
Winnebago Industries has current Mean Deviation of 2.4. The mean deviation of the equity instrument is the first measure of the distances between each value of security historical prices and the mean. It gives us an idea of how spread out from the center the distribution of returns.
Mean Deviation is the average of the absolute values of the differences between price distribution numbers and their mean. Mean deviation of equity instrument with a lot of historical data is a biased estimator because the time horizon used in calculation will always be much smaller than the entire price history of the equity. The mean deviation is typically used as a measure of dispersion for small investment horizon, otherwise standard deviation is a better measure of dispersion.
Mean Deviation | = | SUM(RET DEV) N |
| = | 2.4 |
| SUM | = | Summation notation |
| RET DEV | = | Sum of return deviations of Winnebago Industries |
| N | = | Number of calculation points for selected time horizon |
Let's now compare Winnebago Industries Mean Deviation to its closest peers:
| WGO | 2.4038609182736455 |
| PII | 1.85 |
| THO | 2.24 |
| FOXF | 1.98 |
| HOG | 2.12 |
Will Winnebago Industries eventually start a bounce-back?
Latest skewness is at -0.27. Winnebago Industries currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.11 and Jensen Alpha of 0.42. However, we advise investors to further question Winnebago Industries expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Winnebago Industries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Winnebago Industries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
Whereas other companies under the recreational vehicles industry are still a bit expensive, Winnebago Industries may offer a potential longer-term growth to institutional investors. To conclude, as of the 24th of March 2021, we see that Winnebago Industries slowly supersedes the market. The company is
fairly valued with
very low chance of distress within the next 24 months. Our overall 30 days buy vs. sell advice on the company is
Hold.
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Rifka Kats is a Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Rifka writes about retail product and service companies from the perspective of a regular consumer and sophisticated investor at the same time. She is passionate about corporate ethics and equality in the workforce.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Rifka Kats do not own shares of Winnebago Industries. Please refer to our
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