Kenda Rubber (Taiwan) Market Value

2106 Stock  TWD 33.10  0.05  0.15%   
Kenda Rubber's market value is the price at which a share of Kenda Rubber trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kenda Rubber Industrial investors about its performance. Kenda Rubber is selling for under 33.10 as of the 19th of June 2024; that is 0.15 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 32.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kenda Rubber Industrial and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kenda Rubber over a given investment horizon. Check out Kenda Rubber Correlation, Kenda Rubber Volatility and Kenda Rubber Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kenda Rubber.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kenda Rubber's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kenda Rubber is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kenda Rubber's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kenda Rubber 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kenda Rubber's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kenda Rubber.
0.00
05/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
06/19/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kenda Rubber on May 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kenda Rubber Industrial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kenda Rubber over 30 days. Kenda Rubber is related to or competes with CTCI Corp, Information Technology, Great Taipei, Chong Hong, Jia Wei, FarGlory Hotel, and Medtecs International. It offers automotive, bicycle, wheelchair, power sport, and turftrailerspecialty tires More

Kenda Rubber Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kenda Rubber's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kenda Rubber Industrial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kenda Rubber Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kenda Rubber's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kenda Rubber's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kenda Rubber historical prices to predict the future Kenda Rubber's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kenda Rubber's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.6133.1034.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.3826.8736.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.9232.4033.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.3833.8935.40
Details

Kenda Rubber Industrial Backtested Returns

We consider Kenda Rubber very steady. Kenda Rubber Industrial has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0772, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0772% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Kenda Rubber, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Kenda Rubber's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0641, mean deviation of 1.08, and Downside Deviation of 1.35 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. Kenda Rubber has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.33, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Kenda Rubber are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Kenda Rubber is likely to outperform the market. Kenda Rubber Industrial right now secures a risk of 1.49%. Please verify Kenda Rubber Industrial information ratio, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Kenda Rubber Industrial will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.41  

Average predictability

Kenda Rubber Industrial has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kenda Rubber time series from 20th of May 2024 to 4th of June 2024 and 4th of June 2024 to 19th of June 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kenda Rubber Industrial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Kenda Rubber price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.41
Spearman Rank Test0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.64

Kenda Rubber Industrial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kenda Rubber stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kenda Rubber's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kenda Rubber returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kenda Rubber has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kenda Rubber regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kenda Rubber stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kenda Rubber stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kenda Rubber stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kenda Rubber Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kenda Rubber's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kenda Rubber stock have on its future price. Kenda Rubber autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kenda Rubber autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kenda Rubber stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kenda Rubber Industrial.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Kenda Stock Analysis

When running Kenda Rubber's price analysis, check to measure Kenda Rubber's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kenda Rubber is operating at the current time. Most of Kenda Rubber's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kenda Rubber's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kenda Rubber's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kenda Rubber to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.