Direxion Daily Regional Etf Market Value

DPST Etf  USD 60.08  0.90  1.52%   
Direxion Daily's market value is the price at which a share of Direxion Daily trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Direxion Daily Regional investors about its performance. Direxion Daily is selling for under 60.08 as of the 19th of April 2024; that is 1.52 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's last reported lowest price was 58.36.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Direxion Daily Regional and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Direxion Daily over a given investment horizon. Check out Direxion Daily Correlation, Direxion Daily Volatility and Direxion Daily Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Direxion Daily.
Symbol

The market value of Direxion Daily Regional is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Direxion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Direxion Daily's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Direxion Daily's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Direxion Daily's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Direxion Daily's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Direxion Daily's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Direxion Daily is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Direxion Daily's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Direxion Daily 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Direxion Daily's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Direxion Daily.
0.00
03/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
04/19/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Direxion Daily on March 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Direxion Daily Regional or generate 0.0% return on investment in Direxion Daily over 30 days. Direxion Daily is related to or competes with Direxion Daily, Direxion Daily, Direxion Daily, Direxion Daily, and Direxion Daily. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in financial instruments, such as swap agreements, securities of ... More

Direxion Daily Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Direxion Daily's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Direxion Daily Regional upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Direxion Daily Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Direxion Daily's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Direxion Daily's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Direxion Daily historical prices to predict the future Direxion Daily's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Direxion Daily's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.8561.0866.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.9959.2264.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
46.8952.1157.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
58.9359.7860.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Direxion Daily. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Direxion Daily's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Direxion Daily's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Direxion Daily Regional.

Direxion Daily Regional Backtested Returns

Direxion Daily Regional secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which denotes the etf had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Direxion Daily Regional exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Direxion Daily's Standard Deviation of 5.33, variance of 28.42, and Mean Deviation of 3.73 to check the risk estimate we provide. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.98, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Direxion Daily will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.05  

Very weak reverse predictability

Direxion Daily Regional has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Direxion Daily time series from 20th of March 2024 to 4th of April 2024 and 4th of April 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Direxion Daily Regional price movement. The serial correlation of -0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current Direxion Daily price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.05
Spearman Rank Test0.39
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance29.41

Direxion Daily Regional lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Direxion Daily etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Direxion Daily's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Direxion Daily returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Direxion Daily has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Direxion Daily regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Direxion Daily etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Direxion Daily etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Direxion Daily etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Direxion Daily Lagged Returns

When evaluating Direxion Daily's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Direxion Daily etf have on its future price. Direxion Daily autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Direxion Daily autocorrelation shows the relationship between Direxion Daily etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Direxion Daily Regional.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Direxion Daily Implied Volatility

    
  135.83  
Direxion Daily's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Direxion Daily Regional stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Direxion Daily's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Direxion Daily stock will not fluctuate a lot when Direxion Daily's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Direxion Daily in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Direxion Daily's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Direxion Daily options trading.

Pair Trading with Direxion Daily

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Direxion Daily position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Direxion Daily will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Direxion Etf

  0.56LUX Tema Luxury ETFPairCorr
  0.55FNGU MicroSectors FANG IndexPairCorr
  0.55WINN Harbor Long TermPairCorr
  0.46SHLD Global X FundsPairCorr
  0.45NRGU MicroSectors Big OilPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Direxion Daily could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Direxion Daily when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Direxion Daily - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Direxion Daily Regional to buy it.
The correlation of Direxion Daily is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Direxion Daily moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Direxion Daily Regional moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Direxion Daily can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Direxion Daily Regional is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Direxion Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Direxion Daily Regional Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Direxion Daily Regional Etf:
Check out Direxion Daily Correlation, Direxion Daily Volatility and Direxion Daily Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Direxion Daily.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Direxion Daily technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Direxion Daily technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Direxion Daily trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...