Hussman Strategic Growth Fund Market Value
| HSGFX Fund | USD 5.86 0.01 0.17% |
| Symbol | Hussman |
Hussman Strategic 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hussman Strategic's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hussman Strategic.
| 03/04/2024 |
| 06/02/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Hussman Strategic on March 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hussman Strategic Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hussman Strategic over 90 days. Hussman Strategic is related to or competes with Hussman Strategic, Hussman Strategic, Hussman Strategic, Target 2005, Mydestination 2055, Rivernorth Core, and American Century. The fund will typically be fully invested in common stocks favored by the funds investment adviser, except for modest ca... More
Hussman Strategic Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hussman Strategic's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hussman Strategic Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.36 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.68) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.6885 |
Hussman Strategic Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hussman Strategic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hussman Strategic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hussman Strategic historical prices to predict the future Hussman Strategic's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0396 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hussman Strategic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hussman Strategic Growth Backtested Returns
Hussman Strategic Growth holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0297, which attests that the entity had a -0.0297% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Hussman Strategic Growth exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Hussman Strategic's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0496, standard deviation of 0.4884, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.55, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Hussman Strategic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Hussman Strategic is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.18 |
Very weak predictability
Hussman Strategic Growth has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hussman Strategic time series from 4th of March 2024 to 18th of April 2024 and 18th of April 2024 to 2nd of June 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hussman Strategic Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Hussman Strategic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.18 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.1 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Hussman Strategic Growth lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Hussman Strategic mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hussman Strategic's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hussman Strategic returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hussman Strategic has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Hussman Strategic regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hussman Strategic mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hussman Strategic mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hussman Strategic mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Hussman Strategic Lagged Returns
When evaluating Hussman Strategic's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hussman Strategic mutual fund have on its future price. Hussman Strategic autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hussman Strategic autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hussman Strategic mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hussman Strategic Growth.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Hussman Strategic Correlation, Hussman Strategic Volatility and Hussman Strategic Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hussman Strategic. Note that the Hussman Strategic Growth information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hussman Strategic's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Hussman Strategic technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.