Midland States Bancorp Stock Market Value

MSBI Stock  USD 23.41  0.04  0.17%   
Midland States' market value is the price at which a share of Midland States trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Midland States Bancorp investors about its performance. Midland States is trading at 23.41 as of the 20th of May 2024. This is a -0.17 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 23.45.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Midland States Bancorp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Midland States over a given investment horizon. Check out Midland States Correlation, Midland States Volatility and Midland States Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Midland States.
Symbol

Midland States Bancorp Price To Book Ratio

Is Midland States' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Midland States. If investors know Midland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Midland States listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
Dividend Share
1.21
Earnings Share
2.64
Revenue Per Share
12.372
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.14)
The market value of Midland States Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Midland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Midland States' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Midland States' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Midland States' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Midland States' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Midland States' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Midland States is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Midland States' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Midland States 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Midland States' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Midland States.
0.00
04/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
05/20/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Midland States on April 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Midland States Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Midland States over 30 days. Midland States is related to or competes with Affinity Bancshares, Community West, Cullman Bancorp, and Home Federal. Midland States Bancorp, Inc. operates as a financial holding company for Midland States Bank that provides various banki... More

Midland States Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Midland States' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Midland States Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Midland States Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Midland States' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Midland States' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Midland States historical prices to predict the future Midland States' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Midland States' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.4623.4125.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.3623.3125.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.4923.4325.38
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.3923.5026.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Midland States. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Midland States' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Midland States' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Midland States Bancorp.

Midland States Bancorp Backtested Returns

Midland States Bancorp has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0236, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0236% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Midland States exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Midland States' Standard Deviation of 1.99, mean deviation of 1.26, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.004 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.53, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Midland States will likely underperform. Midland States Bancorp has an expected return of -0.046%. Please make sure to verify Midland States Bancorp potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and daily balance of power , to decide if Midland States Bancorp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.42  

Modest reverse predictability

Midland States Bancorp has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Midland States time series from 20th of April 2024 to 5th of May 2024 and 5th of May 2024 to 20th of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Midland States Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current Midland States price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.42
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Midland States Bancorp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Midland States stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Midland States' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Midland States returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Midland States has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Midland States regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Midland States stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Midland States stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Midland States stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Midland States Lagged Returns

When evaluating Midland States' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Midland States stock have on its future price. Midland States autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Midland States autocorrelation shows the relationship between Midland States stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Midland States Bancorp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Midland States Bancorp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Midland Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Midland States Bancorp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Midland States Bancorp Stock:
Check out Midland States Correlation, Midland States Volatility and Midland States Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Midland States.
Note that the Midland States Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Midland States' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

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When running Midland States' price analysis, check to measure Midland States' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Midland States is operating at the current time. Most of Midland States' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Midland States' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Midland States' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Midland States to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Midland States technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Midland States technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Midland States trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...