Greatek Electronics (Taiwan) Price Prediction

2441 Stock  TWD 61.00  0.50  0.81%   
At this time, the value of RSI of Greatek Electronics' share price is approaching 39. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Greatek Electronics, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

39

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Greatek Electronics stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Greatek Electronics shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Greatek Electronics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Greatek Electronics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Greatek Electronics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Greatek Electronics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Greatek Electronics based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Greatek stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Greatek Electronics over a specific investment horizon. Using Greatek Electronics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Greatek Electronics from the perspective of Greatek Electronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Greatek Electronics. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Greatek Electronics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Greatek because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Greatek Electronics after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 61.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Greatek Electronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Greatek Electronics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.1161.3362.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.4761.6962.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
59.1461.6864.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Greatek Electronics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Greatek Electronics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Greatek Electronics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Greatek Electronics.

Greatek Electronics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Greatek Electronics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Greatek Electronics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Greatek Electronics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Greatek Electronics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Greatek Electronics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Greatek Electronics' historical news coverage. Greatek Electronics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.78 and 62.22, respectively. We have considered Greatek Electronics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
61.00
61.00
After-hype Price
62.22
Upside
Greatek Electronics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Greatek Electronics is based on 3 months time horizon.

Greatek Electronics Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Greatek Electronics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greatek Electronics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Greatek Electronics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
1.22
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
61.00
61.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Greatek Electronics Hype Timeline

Greatek Electronics is presently traded for 61.00on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Greatek is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Greatek Electronics is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.00. About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.34. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Greatek Electronics has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.08. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.96. The firm last dividend was issued on the 25th of August 2022. Greatek Electronics had 119:100 split on the 25th of August 2010. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Greatek Electronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Greatek Electronics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Greatek Electronics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Greatek Electronics' future price movements. Getting to know how Greatek Electronics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Greatek Electronics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Greatek Electronics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Greatek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Greatek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Greatek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Greatek Electronics Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Greatek Electronics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Greatek Electronics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Greatek Electronics based on analysis of Greatek Electronics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Greatek Electronics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Greatek Electronics's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Greatek Electronics

The number of cover stories for Greatek Electronics depends on current market conditions and Greatek Electronics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Greatek Electronics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Greatek Electronics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Greatek Electronics Short Properties

Greatek Electronics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Greatek Electronics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Greatek Electronics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Greatek Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greatek Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding568.8 M
Check out Greatek Electronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
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When running Greatek Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Greatek Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greatek Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Greatek Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greatek Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greatek Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greatek Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Greatek Electronics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Greatek Electronics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Greatek Electronics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.