Chesswood Group Limited Stock Price Prediction
| CHW Stock | CAD 7.33 0.03 0.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Chesswood Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Chesswood Group shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Chesswood Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Chesswood Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Chesswood Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chesswood Group Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Chesswood Group's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.13) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.44) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.23 | Wall Street Target Price 7.63 |
The Chesswood stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Chesswood Group over a specific investment horizon. Using Chesswood Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chesswood Group Limited from the perspective of Chesswood Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Chesswood Group. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chesswood Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chesswood because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chesswood Group after-hype prediction price | CAD 7.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Chesswood |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chesswood Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Chesswood Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chesswood Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chesswood Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chesswood Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chesswood Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chesswood Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chesswood Group's historical news coverage. Chesswood Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.18 and 9.46, respectively. We have considered Chesswood Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chesswood Group is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chesswood Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chesswood Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chesswood Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chesswood Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chesswood Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.14 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.33 | 7.32 | 0.14 |
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Chesswood Group Hype Timeline
Chesswood Group is currently traded for 7.33on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Chesswood is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Chesswood Group is about 3106.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.32. About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.75. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Chesswood Group recorded a loss per share of 2.05. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of December 2023. The firm had 100:1833 split on the 10th of May 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Chesswood Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Chesswood Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chesswood Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chesswood Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Chesswood Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chesswood Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MNT | Royal Canadian Mint | (0.96) | 6 per month | 0.86 | 0.20 | 1.99 | (1.69) | 5.55 | |
| SOLR | Solar Alliance Energy | 0.00 | 5 per month | 5.87 | 0 | 20.00 | (16.67) | 36.67 | |
| ECO | EcoSynthetix | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.83 | (3.61) | 10.39 | |
| TKU | Tarku Resources | 0.00 | 1 per month | 7.76 | 0.02 | 20.00 | (20.00) | 45.00 | |
| ROMJ | Rubicon Organics | (0.02) | 4 per month | 5.89 | 0.05 | 8.82 | (9.09) | 81.87 | |
| VO | ValOre Metals Corp | 0.01 | 1 per month | 6.47 | 0.13 | 25.00 | (16.67) | 62.22 | |
| XEG | iShares SPTSX Capped | 0.37 | 2 per month | 1.42 | 0.1 | 1.81 | (1.86) | 5.01 | |
| SOLI-P | Solid Impact Investments | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TD-PFB | Toronto Dominion Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.09 | 0.22 | 1.41 | (0.57) | 3.29 |
Chesswood Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chesswood price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chesswood using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chesswood charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Chesswood Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chesswood Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chesswood Group Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chesswood Group based on analysis of Chesswood Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chesswood Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chesswood Group's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0235 | 0.0437 | 0.0652 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.21 | 1.0 | 0.47 |
Story Coverage note for Chesswood Group
The number of cover stories for Chesswood Group depends on current market conditions and Chesswood Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chesswood Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chesswood Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Chesswood Group Short Properties
Chesswood Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chesswood Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chesswood Group Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chesswood Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chesswood Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.3 M |
Other Information on Investing in Chesswood Stock
Chesswood Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chesswood Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chesswood with respect to the benefits of owning Chesswood Group security.