Fairfax Financial Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| FFH-PF Stock | CAD 17.95 0.29 1.59% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.006 |
Using Fairfax Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fairfax Financial Holdings from the perspective of Fairfax Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fairfax Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fairfax because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fairfax Financial after-hype prediction price | CAD 17.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fairfax |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fairfax Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fairfax Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fairfax Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fairfax Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fairfax Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fairfax Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fairfax Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fairfax Financial's historical news coverage. Fairfax Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.14 and 18.76, respectively. We have considered Fairfax Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fairfax Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fairfax Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fairfax Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fairfax Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fairfax Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fairfax Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.95 | 17.95 | 0.00 |
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Fairfax Financial Hype Timeline
Fairfax Financial is currently traded for 17.95on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fairfax is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fairfax Financial is about 2025.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.95. About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 128.45. Fairfax Financial last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Fairfax Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fairfax Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fairfax Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fairfax Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Fairfax Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fairfax Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NA-PE | National Bank of | 0.11 | 4 per month | 0.64 | 0.1 | 1.14 | (1.01) | 2.95 | |
| FFH-PK | Fairfax Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.63 | 0.08 | 1.12 | (0.83) | 3.56 | |
| NA-PG | National Bank of | 0.08 | 3 per month | 0.36 | 0.1 | 1.03 | (0.75) | 2.71 | |
| XHB | iShares Canadian HYBrid | (0.08) | 6 per month | 0.25 | 0.02 | 0.53 | (0.52) | 1.27 | |
| ALA-PA | Altagas Cum Red | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.74 | 0.1 | 2.14 | (1.33) | 5.04 | |
| ERE-UN | European Residential Real | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.91 | 0.03 | 2.22 | (1.72) | 5.19 | |
| RUDB | RBC Discount Bond | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.17 | 0.03 | 0.59 | (0.39) | 1.62 | |
| BN-PFI | Brookfield | (0.51) | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.31 | 1.37 | (0.69) | 3.83 | |
| XEG | iShares SPTSX Capped | 0.01 | 3 per month | 1.44 | 0.07 | 1.77 | (1.86) | 6.42 | |
| SOLI-P | Solid Impact Investments | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Fairfax Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fairfax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fairfax using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fairfax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Fairfax Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fairfax Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fairfax Financial Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fairfax Financial based on analysis of Fairfax Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fairfax Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fairfax Financial's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Fairfax Financial
The number of cover stories for Fairfax Financial depends on current market conditions and Fairfax Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fairfax Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fairfax Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fairfax Financial Short Properties
Fairfax Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fairfax Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fairfax Financial Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fairfax Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fairfax Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Fairfax Stock analysis
When running Fairfax Financial's price analysis, check to measure Fairfax Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fairfax Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Fairfax Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fairfax Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fairfax Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fairfax Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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