Global Healthcare Reit Stock Price Prediction
| GBCS Stock | USD 2.49 0.39 18.57% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Global Healthcare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Healthcare REIT from the perspective of Global Healthcare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Global Healthcare to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Global because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Global Healthcare after-hype prediction price | USD 2.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Global |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Healthcare's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Global Healthcare After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Global Healthcare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Healthcare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Global Healthcare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Global Healthcare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Global Healthcare's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Healthcare's historical news coverage. Global Healthcare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 12.19, respectively. We have considered Global Healthcare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Global Healthcare is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Healthcare REIT is based on 3 months time horizon.
Global Healthcare Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Healthcare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Healthcare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Healthcare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.79 | 9.61 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 32 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 32 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.49 | 2.58 | 3.61 |
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Global Healthcare Hype Timeline
Global Healthcare REIT is currently traded for 2.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Global is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.58 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 3.61%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.79%. The volatility of related hype on Global Healthcare is about 19220.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.45. Global Healthcare REIT currently holds 31.8 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.07, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 32 days. Check out Global Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Global Healthcare Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Global Healthcare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Healthcare's future price movements. Getting to know how Global Healthcare's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Healthcare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BXP | Boston Properties | 0.09 | 11 per month | 1.48 | 0.07 | 3.81 | (2.59) | 8.62 | |
| KRC | Kilroy Realty Corp | (0.11) | 8 per month | 1.61 | 0.03 | 3.13 | (3.15) | 10.07 | |
| SLG | SL Green Realty | (0.71) | 7 per month | 1.53 | 0.13 | 4.92 | (2.61) | 8.84 | |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | 0.03 | 12 per month | 2.31 | 0.03 | 3.89 | (3.00) | 11.87 | |
| HIW | Highwoods Properties | 0.03 | 10 per month | 1.30 | 0.14 | 3.20 | (2.50) | 6.03 | |
| ARE | Alexandria Real Estate | 0.45 | 8 per month | 1.55 | (0.04) | 2.51 | (2.75) | 11.56 | |
| DEI | Douglas Emmett | (0.29) | 8 per month | 1.33 | 0.1 | 3.72 | (2.41) | 7.97 | |
| BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | 0.01 | 11 per month | 1.44 | 0.07 | 3.47 | (2.29) | 9.98 | |
| HPP | Hudson Pacific Properties | 0.05 | 9 per month | 2.91 | (0.02) | 5.48 | (4.52) | 15.90 |
Global Healthcare Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Global Healthcare Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Global Healthcare stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Global Healthcare REIT, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Global Healthcare based on analysis of Global Healthcare hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Global Healthcare's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Global Healthcare's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Global Healthcare
The number of cover stories for Global Healthcare depends on current market conditions and Global Healthcare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Healthcare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Healthcare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Global Healthcare Short Properties
Global Healthcare's future price predictability will typically decrease when Global Healthcare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Global Healthcare REIT often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Global Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4 M |
Additional Tools for Global Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Global Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Global Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Global Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.