As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of HP's share price is approaching 42. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling HP's stock, making its price go up or down.
Oversold Vs Overbought
HP Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of HP shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of HP's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of HP and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from HP's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with HP Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting HP's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of HP based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The HP stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on HP over a specific investment horizon. Using HP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HP Inc from the perspective of HP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards HP using HP's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards HP using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of HP's stock price.
HP Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in HP's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards HP. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of HP stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long HP may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about HP and may potentially protect profits, hedge HP with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
Shares Short Prior Month
50 Day MA
HP Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to HP's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in HP. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding HP can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around HP Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of HP's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about HP.
HP Implied Volatility
HP's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of HP Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if HP's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that HP stock will not fluctuate a lot when HP's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in HP. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in HP to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying HP because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
HP after-hype prediction price
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current HP contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that HP Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 6.33% per day over the life of the 2024-03-01 option contract. With HP trading at USD 28.8, that is roughly USD 1.82 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating HP's daily price movement you should consider acquiring HP Inc options at the current volatility level of 101.28%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.Check out HP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of HP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of HP in the context of predictive analytics.
HP After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of HP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
HP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting HP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HP's historical news coverage. HP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.49 and 30.13, respectively. We have considered HP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
HP Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
|Latest traded price
|Expected after-news price
|Potential return on next major news
|Average after-hype volatility
HP Hype TimelineOn the 26th of February HP Inc is traded for 28.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. HP is projected to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 28.81 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.03% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on HP is about 750.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 28.79. The company reported the last year's revenue of 53.72 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 3.26 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 11.51 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out HP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
HP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to HP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HP's future price movements. Getting to know how HP rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HP Additional Predictive ModulesMost predictive techniques to examine HP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HP using various technical indicators. When you analyze HP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
About HP Predictive Indicators
Story Coverage note for HP
The number of cover stories for HP depends on current market conditions and HP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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HP Short Properties
HP's future price predictability will typically decrease when HP's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of HP Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential HP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.When determining whether HP Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if HP Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Hp Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Hp Inc Stock:
Check out HP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for HP Stock analysis
When running HP's price analysis, check to measure HP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HP is operating at the current time. Most of HP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Is HP's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HP. If investors know HP will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about HP listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
The market value of HP Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of HP that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of HP's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is HP's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because HP's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect HP's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.