Sumi Indo (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| IKBI Stock | IDR 458.00 14.00 2.97% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sumi Indo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sumi Indo Kabel from the perspective of Sumi Indo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sumi Indo to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sumi because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sumi Indo after-hype prediction price | IDR 458.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sumi |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sumi Indo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sumi Indo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sumi Indo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sumi Indo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sumi Indo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sumi Indo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sumi Indo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sumi Indo's historical news coverage. Sumi Indo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 456.05 and 459.95, respectively. We have considered Sumi Indo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sumi Indo is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sumi Indo Kabel is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sumi Indo Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sumi Indo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sumi Indo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sumi Indo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
458.00 | 458.00 | 0.00 |
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Sumi Indo Hype Timeline
Sumi Indo Kabel is currently traded for 458.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sumi is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sumi Indo is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 458.00. About 94.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.24. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Sumi Indo Kabel recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.61. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of September 2020. The firm had 4:1 split on the 21st of September 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Sumi Indo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sumi Indo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sumi Indo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sumi Indo's future price movements. Getting to know how Sumi Indo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sumi Indo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ECII | Electronic City Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 5.30 | (4.83) | 12.40 | |
| ISSP | Steel Pipe Industry | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.38 | (2.03) | 8.05 | |
| VIVA | Visi Media Asia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.51) | 0.00 | (14.29) | 36.67 | |
| BEST | Bekasi Fajar Industrial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 2.22 | (3.17) | 7.70 |
Sumi Indo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sumi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sumi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sumi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sumi Indo Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sumi Indo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sumi Indo Kabel, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sumi Indo based on analysis of Sumi Indo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sumi Indo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sumi Indo's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Sumi Indo
The number of cover stories for Sumi Indo depends on current market conditions and Sumi Indo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sumi Indo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sumi Indo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sumi Indo Short Properties
Sumi Indo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sumi Indo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sumi Indo Kabel often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sumi Indo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sumi Indo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 18.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.3 M |
Other Information on Investing in Sumi Stock
Sumi Indo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sumi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sumi with respect to the benefits of owning Sumi Indo security.