Thrivent High Yield Fund Price Prediction

LBHIX Fund  USD 4.16  0.01  0.24%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Thrivent High's share price is above 70 at this time. This indicates that the mutual fund is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Thrivent, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

71

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Thrivent High's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Thrivent High Yield, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Thrivent High hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Thrivent High Yield from the perspective of Thrivent High response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Thrivent High to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Thrivent because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Thrivent High after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Thrivent High Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thrivent High's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.924.154.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.964.204.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.104.144.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Thrivent High. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Thrivent High's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Thrivent High's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Thrivent High Yield.

Thrivent High After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Thrivent High at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Thrivent High or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Thrivent High, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Thrivent High Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Thrivent High's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Thrivent High's historical news coverage. Thrivent High's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.93 and 4.39, respectively. We have considered Thrivent High's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.16
4.16
After-hype Price
4.39
Upside
Thrivent High is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Thrivent High Yield is based on 3 months time horizon.

Thrivent High Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Thrivent High is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Thrivent High backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Thrivent High, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
0.23
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.16
4.16
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Thrivent High Hype Timeline

Thrivent High Yield is now traded for 4.16. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Thrivent is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Thrivent High is about 5750.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.16. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.58. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Thrivent High Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Thrivent High Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Thrivent High's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Thrivent High's future price movements. Getting to know how Thrivent High's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Thrivent High may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VWEAXVanguard High Yield Corporate 0.01 2 per month 0.10  0.06  0.38 (0.38) 1.13 
VWEHXVanguard High Yield Porate 0.00 1 per month 0.04  0.07  0.38 (0.38) 0.76 
BHYCXBlackrock Hi Yld 0.00 0 per month 0.07  0.06  0.29 (0.29) 1.00 
BHYIXBlackrock High Yield 0.01 1 per month 0.00  0.09  0.43 (0.29) 1.00 
BHYSXBlackrock Hi Yld 0.02 1 per month 0.05  0.08  0.29 (0.29) 0.86 
BHYAXBlackrock High Yield 0.00 0 per month 0.02  0.08  0.29 (0.29) 0.87 
FAHHXAmerican Funds American 0.02 2 per month 0.00  0.11  0.43 (0.32) 1.17 
FTAHXAmerican Funds American 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.10  0.43 (0.32) 1.27 
AHTFXAmerican High Income(0.01)1 per month 0.00  0.1  0.52 (0.32) 1.17 
AHTCXAmerican High Income(0.01)1 per month 0.00  0.09  0.43 (0.32) 1.06 

Thrivent High Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Thrivent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Thrivent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Thrivent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Thrivent High Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Thrivent High stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Thrivent High Yield, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Thrivent High based on analysis of Thrivent High hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Thrivent High's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Thrivent High's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Thrivent High

The number of cover stories for Thrivent High depends on current market conditions and Thrivent High's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Thrivent High is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Thrivent High's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Thrivent Mutual Fund

Thrivent High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thrivent Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thrivent with respect to the benefits of owning Thrivent High security.
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