Pnc Financial Services Stock Price Prediction

PNC Stock  USD 151.75  0.89  0.58%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of PNC Financial's share price is approaching 46 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PNC Financial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of PNC Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PNC Financial Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting PNC Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.22)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.96
EPS Estimate Current Year
12.64
EPS Estimate Next Year
14.32
Wall Street Target Price
168.42
Using PNC Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PNC Financial Services from the perspective of PNC Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PNC Financial using PNC Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PNC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PNC Financial's stock price.

PNC Financial Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in PNC Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards PNC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of PNC Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
141.9356
Short Percent
0.011
Short Ratio
2.81
Shares Short Prior Month
5.3 M
50 Day MA
155.1864

PNC Financial Services Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to PNC Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PNC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PNC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PNC Financial Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PNC Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PNC Financial.

PNC Financial Implied Volatility

    
  34.49  
PNC Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PNC Financial Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PNC Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PNC Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when PNC Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PNC Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PNC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

PNC Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 151.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PNC contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PNC Financial Services will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.16% per day over the life of the 2024-06-14 option contract. With PNC Financial trading at USD 151.75, that is roughly USD 3.27 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PNC Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PNC Financial Services options at the current volatility level of 34.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out PNC Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PNC Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
144.03145.42166.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
153.71155.10156.49
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
125.56137.98153.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.442.963.20
Details

PNC Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of PNC Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PNC Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PNC Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

PNC Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting PNC Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PNC Financial's historical news coverage. PNC Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 150.40 and 153.18, respectively. We have considered PNC Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
151.75
150.40
Downside
151.79
After-hype Price
153.18
Upside
PNC Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PNC Financial Services is based on 3 months time horizon.

PNC Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PNC Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PNC Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PNC Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
1.39
  0.04 
 0.00  
11 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
151.75
151.79
0.03 
167.47  
Notes

PNC Financial Hype Timeline

On the 14th of June 2024 PNC Financial Services is traded for 151.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. PNC is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 151.79 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 167.47%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on PNC Financial is about 1930.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 151.75. The company reported the last year's revenue of 21.51 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 5.65 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 20.64 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out PNC Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

PNC Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to PNC Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PNC Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how PNC Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PNC Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

PNC Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PNC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PNC using various technical indicators. When you analyze PNC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About PNC Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of PNC Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PNC Financial Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PNC Financial based on analysis of PNC Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PNC Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PNC Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02680.04140.04630.04
Price To Sales Ratio4.463.082.892.33

Story Coverage note for PNC Financial

The number of cover stories for PNC Financial depends on current market conditions and PNC Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PNC Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PNC Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

PNC Financial Short Properties

PNC Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when PNC Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PNC Financial Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PNC Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PNC Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding401 M
Cash And Short Term Investments48.7 B

Complementary Tools for PNC Stock analysis

When running PNC Financial's price analysis, check to measure PNC Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PNC Financial is operating at the current time. Most of PNC Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PNC Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PNC Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PNC Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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