Federal Agricultural Mortgage Stock Analysis

AGM Stock  USD 174.73  0.66  0.38%   
Federal Agricultural Mortgage is undervalued with Real Value of 193.45 and Target Price of 208.33. The main objective of Federal Agricultural stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Federal Agricultural Mortgage is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Federal Agricultural's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Federal Agricultural stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Federal Agricultural is usually not traded on Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day. Federal Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Federal Agricultural Mortgage. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Federal Stock Analysis Notes

About 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Federal Agricultural was presently reported as 91.62. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.64. Federal Agricultural recorded earning per share (EPS) of 16.41. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of June 2024. The firm had 3:1 split on the 2nd of August 1999. Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation provides a secondary market for various loans made to borrowers in the United States. Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Washington, District of Columbia. Federal Agricultural operates under Credit Services classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 153 people. For more info on Federal Agricultural Mortgage please contact Bradford Nordholm at 202 872 7700 or go to https://www.farmermac.com.

Federal Agricultural Investment Alerts

Federal Agricultural generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Palliser Capital Publishes Frequently Asked Questions on Website Ahead of Keisei AGM

Federal Agricultural Upcoming and Recent Events

23rd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
23rd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Federal Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Federal Agricultural's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
1997-07-22
1997-06-300.060.04-0.0233 
2000-10-19
2000-09-300.210.240.0314 
2000-04-20
2000-03-310.180.210.0316 
View All Earnings Estimates

Federal Agricultural Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Federal Agricultural's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Federal Agricultural's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Federal Agricultural's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Federal Agricultural's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Federal Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-03-31
159.3 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-03-31
141.6 K
Captrust Financial Advisors2024-03-31
122.6 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-03-31
119.8 K
Weybosset Research & Management Llc2024-03-31
116.2 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-03-31
106.5 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-03-31
96.9 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-03-31
91.1 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-03-31
90.1 K
Blackrock Inc2024-03-31
794.3 K
Fmr Inc2024-03-31
677 K
Note, although Federal Agricultural's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Federal Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 1.82 B.

Federal Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.58 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.72 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.72 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.14  0.15 

Management Efficiency

At this time, Federal Agricultural's Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 19th of June 2024, Return On Assets is likely to grow to 0.01, while Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.01. At this time, Federal Agricultural's Total Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 19th of June 2024, Other Assets is likely to grow to about 24.5 B, though Non Currrent Assets Other are likely to grow to (16.2 B). Federal Agricultural's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Federal Agricultural manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 130.38  136.90 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 130.38  136.90 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 129.14  135.60 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.47  1.45 
Enterprise Value Multiple 129.14  135.60 
Price Fair Value 1.47  1.45 
Enterprise Value16.2 B17 B
The analysis of Federal Agricultural's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Federal Agricultural's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Federal Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.032
Operating Margin
0.7248
Profit Margin
0.5776
Forward Dividend Yield
0.032
Beta
1.045

Technical Drivers

As of the 19th of June, Federal Agricultural shows the Variance of 3.14, mean deviation of 1.36, and Standard Deviation of 1.77. Federal Agricultural technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Federal Agricultural market risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and value at risk to decide if Federal Agricultural is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 174.73 per share. Given that Federal Agricultural has information ratio of (0.05), we urge you to verify Federal Agricultural Mortgage's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Federal Agricultural Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-nine with a total number of output elements of thirty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Federal Agricultural middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Federal Agricultural. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Federal Agricultural Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Federal Agricultural insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Federal Agricultural's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Federal Agricultural insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Federal Agricultural Predictive Daily Indicators

Federal Agricultural intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Federal Agricultural stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Federal Agricultural Corporate Filings

8K
17th of June 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
4th of June 2024
An amendment to a previously filed Form 8-K
ViewVerify
8K
21st of May 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
20th of May 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
16th of May 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
15th of May 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
6th of May 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
22nd of April 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Federal Agricultural Forecast Models

Federal Agricultural's time-series forecasting models are one of many Federal Agricultural's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Federal Agricultural's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Federal Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Federal Agricultural prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Federal shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Federal Agricultural. By using and applying Federal Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Federal entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.72  0.46 
Operating Profit Margin 0.64  0.61 
Net Profit Margin 0.57  0.60 
Gross Profit Margin 0.99  1.09 

Current Federal Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Federal analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Federal analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
208.33Strong Buy2Odds
Federal Agricultural Mortgage current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Federal analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Federal stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Federal Agricultural, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Federal conference calls.
Federal Analyst Advice Details

Federal Stock Analysis Indicators

Federal Agricultural Mortgage stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Federal Agricultural stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Federal Agricultural shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Federal Agricultural stock analysis, traders can identify Federal Agricultural position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow861 M
Long Term Debt19.9 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.4 B
Tax Provision53.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.16
Cash And Short Term Investments5.9 B
Cash888.7 M
Accounts Payable258.5 M
Net Debt27 B
50 Day M A180.1146
Total Current Liabilities8.3 B
Other Operating Expenses97.1 M
Non Current Assets Total8.5 M
Forward Price Earnings10.6952
Non Currrent Assets Other-17.1 B
Stock Based Compensation6.8 M

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Federal Stock

When determining whether Federal Agricultural is a strong investment it is important to analyze Federal Agricultural's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Federal Agricultural's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Federal Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Federal Agricultural Mortgage. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Federal Agricultural. If investors know Federal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Federal Agricultural listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.16
Dividend Share
4.7
Earnings Share
16.41
Revenue Per Share
33.017
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.137
The market value of Federal Agricultural is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Federal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Federal Agricultural's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Federal Agricultural's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Federal Agricultural's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Federal Agricultural's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Federal Agricultural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federal Agricultural is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federal Agricultural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.