Urban Outfitters Stock Technical Analysis
URBN Stock | USD 41.22 0.01 0.02% |
As of the 13th of May 2024, Urban Outfitters has the Coefficient Of Variation of 6866.44, risk adjusted performance of 0.0165, and Semi Deviation of 2.89. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Urban Outfitters, as well as the relationship between them. In other words, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past prices and volume data, or the prices will eventually revert. We have analyzed nineteen technical drivers for Urban Outfitters, which can be compared to its competition. Please validate Urban Outfitters variance, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness to decide if Urban Outfitters is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 41.22 per share. Given that Urban Outfitters has jensen alpha of (0.07), we advise you to double-check Urban Outfitters's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Urban Outfitters Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Urban, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to UrbanUrban |
Urban Outfitters Analyst Consensus
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
38.04 | Buy | 14 | Odds |
Most Urban analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Urban stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Urban Outfitters, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Urban conference calls.
Urban Outfitters technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Urban Outfitters Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Urban Outfitters volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
Urban Outfitters Trend Analysis
Use this graph to draw trend lines for Urban Outfitters. You can use it to identify possible trend reversals for Urban Outfitters as well as other signals and approximate when it will take place. Remember, you need at least two touches of the trend line with actual Urban Outfitters price movement. To start drawing, click on the pencil icon on top-right. To remove the trend, use eraser icon.Urban Outfitters Best Fit Change Line
The following chart estimates an ordinary least squares regression model for Urban Outfitters applied against its price change over selected period. The best fit line has a slop of 0.08 , which may suggest that Urban Outfitters market price will keep on failing further. It has 122 observation points and a regression sum of squares at 249.68, which is the sum of squared deviations for the predicted Urban Outfitters price change compared to its average price change.About Urban Outfitters Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Urban Outfitters on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Urban Outfitters based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Urban Outfitters price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Urban Outfitters. By analyzing Urban Outfitters's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Urban Outfitters's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Urban Outfitters specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 5.12 | 5.35 | 4.75 | 4.79 | PTB Ratio | 1.61 | 1.42 | 1.67 | 1.58 |
Urban Outfitters May 13, 2024 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Urban help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Urban from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Urban charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0165 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0297 | |||
Mean Deviation | 1.77 | |||
Semi Deviation | 2.89 | |||
Downside Deviation | 2.99 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | 6866.44 | |||
Standard Deviation | 2.51 | |||
Variance | 6.29 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.07) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.27) | |||
Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.0197 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 15.5 | |||
Value At Risk | (3.17) | |||
Potential Upside | 3.15 | |||
Downside Variance | 8.96 | |||
Semi Variance | 8.36 | |||
Expected Short fall | (1.75) | |||
Skewness | (2.04) | |||
Kurtosis | 9.32 |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Urban Outfitters. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. To learn how to invest in Urban Stock, please use our How to Invest in Urban Outfitters guide.Note that the Urban Outfitters information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Urban Outfitters' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Complementary Tools for Urban Stock analysis
When running Urban Outfitters' price analysis, check to measure Urban Outfitters' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Urban Outfitters is operating at the current time. Most of Urban Outfitters' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Urban Outfitters' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Urban Outfitters' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Urban Outfitters to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Urban Outfitters' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Urban Outfitters. If investors know Urban will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Urban Outfitters listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.479 | Earnings Share 3.05 | Revenue Per Share 55.592 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.073 | Return On Assets 0.0622 |
The market value of Urban Outfitters is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Urban that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Urban Outfitters' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Urban Outfitters' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Urban Outfitters' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Urban Outfitters' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Urban Outfitters' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Urban Outfitters is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Urban Outfitters' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.