Urban Jakarta (Indonesia) Volatility
| URBN Stock | 116.00 2.00 1.69% |
Urban Jakarta Propertindo owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0727, which indicates the firm had a -0.0727% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Urban Jakarta Propertindo exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Urban Jakarta's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,005), variance of 7.33, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Urban Jakarta's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Urban Jakarta Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Urban daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Urban's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Urban Jakarta volatility.
Urban |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Urban Jakarta at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Urban stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with Urban Stock
| 0.69 | RISE | Jaya Sukses Makmur | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | POLI | Pollux Investasi Int Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | SMDM | Suryamas Dutamakmur Tbk Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
Moving against Urban Stock
| 0.81 | IFII | Indonesia Fibreboard Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | CSMI | Cipta Selera Murni | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | JECC | Jembo Cable Split | PairCorr |
Urban Jakarta Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Urban Jakarta's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Urban stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Urban stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Urban Jakarta's beta of -0.02 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Urban Jakarta stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Urban Jakarta Propertindo exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.69 and kurtosis of 2.13. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Urban Jakarta's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Urban Jakarta's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Urban Jakarta Propertindo Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Urban Jakarta correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Urban Beta |
Urban standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.9 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Urban Jakarta's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Urban Jakarta's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in urban stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Urban Jakarta.
Urban Jakarta Propertindo Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Urban Jakarta stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Urban Jakarta's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Urban Jakarta's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Urban Jakarta's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Urban Jakarta's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Urban Jakarta's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Urban Jakarta's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Urban Jakarta's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Urban Jakarta Propertindo Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Urban Jakarta Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Urban Jakarta Propertindo has a beta of -0.02 . This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Urban Jakarta are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Urban Jakarta Propertindo is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Urban Jakarta or Real Estate sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Urban Jakarta's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Urban stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Urban Jakarta Propertindo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Urban Jakarta Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Urban Jakarta Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Urban Jakarta is -1375.61. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 8.42 and standard deviation of 2.9. The mean deviation of Urban Jakarta Propertindo is currently at 1.98. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Urban Jakarta Stock Return Volatility
Urban Jakarta historical daily return volatility represents how much of Urban Jakarta stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 2.9024% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6269% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Urban Jakarta Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Urban Jakarta or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Urban Jakarta may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Urban's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Urban Jakarta and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Urban Jakarta fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize Urban Jakarta's volatility to invest better
Higher Urban Jakarta's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Urban Jakarta Propertindo stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Urban Jakarta Propertindo stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Urban Jakarta Propertindo investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Urban Jakarta's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Urban Jakarta's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Urban Jakarta Investment Opportunity
Urban Jakarta Propertindo has a volatility of 2.9 and is 4.6 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 25 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Urban Jakarta. You can use Urban Jakarta Propertindo to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of Urban Jakarta to be traded at 112.52 in 90 days.Urban Jakarta Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Urban Jakarta's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Urban Jakarta's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Urban Jakarta stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 13.97 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,005) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Variance | 7.33 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Urban Jakarta Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Urban Jakarta as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Urban Jakarta's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Urban Jakarta's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Urban Jakarta Propertindo.
Other Information on Investing in Urban Stock
Urban Jakarta financial ratios help investors to determine whether Urban Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Urban with respect to the benefits of owning Urban Jakarta security.