Amundi Index Etf Forecast - Simple Moving Average

500USD Etf  USD 103.24  0.66  0.64%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amundi Index Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 103.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.54. Amundi Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Amundi Index stock prices and determine the direction of Amundi Index Solutions's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Amundi Index's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amundi Index to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Amundi Index cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, etf markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Amundi Index's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Amundi Index's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Amundi Index is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Amundi Index Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of June

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amundi Index Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 103.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66, mean absolute percentage error of 0.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amundi Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amundi Index's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Amundi Index Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Amundi IndexAmundi Index Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Amundi Index Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Amundi Index's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amundi Index's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 102.44 and 104.04, respectively. We have considered Amundi Index's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
103.24
102.44
Downside
103.24
Expected Value
104.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amundi Index etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amundi Index etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.8858
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0935
MADMean absolute deviation0.659
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0066
SAESum of the absolute errors39.54
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Amundi Index Solutions price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Amundi Index. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Amundi Index

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi Index Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amundi Index's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.44103.24104.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
101.76102.56103.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
99.93102.46105.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Amundi Index

For every potential investor in Amundi, whether a beginner or expert, Amundi Index's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amundi Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amundi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amundi Index's price trends.

Amundi Index Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amundi Index etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amundi Index could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amundi Index by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Amundi Index Solutions Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amundi Index's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amundi Index's current price.

Amundi Index Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amundi Index etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amundi Index shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amundi Index etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Amundi Index Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Amundi Index Risk Indicators

The analysis of Amundi Index's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amundi Index's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amundi etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.