Altisource Asset Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| AAMC Stock | USD 1.16 0.13 12.62% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Altisource Asset Management on the next trading day is expected to be 1.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.23. Altisource Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Altisource Asset stock prices and determine the direction of Altisource Asset Management's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Altisource Asset's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Altisource |
Cash | First Reported 2012-12-31 | Previous Quarter 6.7 M | Current Value 8.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 64.3 M |
Altisource Asset Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of October
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Altisource Asset Management on the next trading day is expected to be 1.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Altisource Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Altisource Asset's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Altisource Asset Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Altisource Asset | Altisource Asset Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Altisource Asset stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Altisource Asset stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1511 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1841 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0997 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.2311 |
Predictive Modules for Altisource Asset
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altisource Asset Man. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altisource Asset's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Altisource Asset Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Altisource Asset stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Altisource Asset could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Altisource Asset by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Altisource Asset Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Altisource Asset stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Altisource Asset shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Altisource Asset stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Altisource Asset Management entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Altisource Asset Risk Indicators
The analysis of Altisource Asset's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Altisource Asset's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting altisource stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.46 | |||
| Variance | 155.37 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Altisource Stock
When determining whether Altisource Asset Man offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Altisource Asset's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Altisource Asset Management Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Altisource Asset Management Stock:Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Altisource Asset. If investors know Altisource will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Altisource Asset listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | Earnings Share 40.42 | Revenue Per Share (0.23) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.98) | Return On Assets (0.28) |
The market value of Altisource Asset Man is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Altisource that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Altisource Asset's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Altisource Asset's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Altisource Asset's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Altisource Asset's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Altisource Asset's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Altisource Asset is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Altisource Asset's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.