Altisource Asset Management Stock Price Prediction

AAMC Stock  USD 2.31  0.04  1.70%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Altisource Asset's share price is approaching 41. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Altisource Asset, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

41

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Altisource Asset's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Altisource Asset Management, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Altisource Asset's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.98)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.89)
Using Altisource Asset hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Altisource Asset Management from the perspective of Altisource Asset response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Altisource Asset to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Altisource because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Altisource Asset after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Altisource Asset Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altisource Asset's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.197.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Altisource Asset. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Altisource Asset's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Altisource Asset's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Altisource Asset Man.

Altisource Asset After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Altisource Asset at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Altisource Asset or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Altisource Asset, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Altisource Asset Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Altisource Asset's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Altisource Asset's historical news coverage. Altisource Asset's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 7.42, respectively. We have considered Altisource Asset's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.31
1.81
After-hype Price
7.42
Upside
Altisource Asset is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Altisource Asset Man is based on 3 months time horizon.

Altisource Asset Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Altisource Asset is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Altisource Asset backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Altisource Asset, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.68 
5.61
  0.54 
  0.05 
7 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.31
1.81
22.98 
710.13  
Notes

Altisource Asset Hype Timeline

Altisource Asset Man is presently traded for 2.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Altisource is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -22.98%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.68%. The volatility of related hype on Altisource Asset is about 7192.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.26. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 39.85. Altisource Asset Man had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 17:10 split on the 1st of November 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Altisource Asset Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Altisource Asset Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Altisource Asset's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Altisource Asset's future price movements. Getting to know how Altisource Asset's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Altisource Asset may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AEFAbrdn Emerging Markets(0.01)3 per month 0.85  0.05  1.56 (1.81) 4.28 
KTFDWS Municipal Income(0.09)7 per month 0.10  0.15  0.74 (0.65) 8.11 
AMKAssetMark Financial Holdings 0.12 8 per month 0.00 (0.04) 0.98 (2.03) 9.46 
MUIBlackrock Muni Intermediate(0.01)3 per month 0.55  0.09  0.87 (0.84) 5.21 
MYDBlackrock Muniyield 0.04 5 per month 0.00 (0.04) 0.75 (1.01) 2.08 
BBUCBrookfield Business Corp(0.32)6 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.32 (2.91) 9.78 
BSIGBrightsphere Investment Group 0.02 10 per month 0.00 (0.01) 2.30 (1.83) 5.67 
LRFCLogan Ridge Finance(0.46)8 per month 0.72  0.05  1.09 (0.94) 3.17 
BLWBlackRock Limited Duration(0.07)7 per month 0.43  0.06  0.90 (0.96) 2.36 
ASXSFElysee Development Corp 0.00 0 per month 2.52  0.02  4.76 (4.55) 31.05 

Altisource Asset Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Altisource price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Altisource using various technical indicators. When you analyze Altisource charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Altisource Asset Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Altisource Asset stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Altisource Asset Management, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Altisource Asset based on analysis of Altisource Asset hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Altisource Asset's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Altisource Asset's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Graham Number39.6437.66
Receivables Turnover0.08220.0781

Story Coverage note for Altisource Asset

The number of cover stories for Altisource Asset depends on current market conditions and Altisource Asset's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Altisource Asset is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Altisource Asset's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Altisource Asset Short Properties

Altisource Asset's future price predictability will typically decrease when Altisource Asset's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Altisource Asset Management often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Altisource Asset's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Altisource Asset's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14.3 M

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When running Altisource Asset's price analysis, check to measure Altisource Asset's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altisource Asset is operating at the current time. Most of Altisource Asset's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altisource Asset's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altisource Asset's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altisource Asset to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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