Bosideng International Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| BSDGY Stock | USD 25.11 0.00 0.00% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bosideng International Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 25.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.68. Bosideng Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Bosideng International stock prices and determine the direction of Bosideng International Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bosideng International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bosideng International to cross-verify your projections. Bosideng |
Most investors in Bosideng International cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Bosideng International's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Bosideng International's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Bosideng International - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Bosideng International prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Bosideng International price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Bosideng International. Bosideng International Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of June
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bosideng International Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 25.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bosideng Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bosideng International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bosideng International Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Bosideng International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bosideng International's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bosideng International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.86 and 25.36, respectively. We have considered Bosideng International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bosideng International pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bosideng International pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0115 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0115 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 5.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.68 |
Predictive Modules for Bosideng International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bosideng International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bosideng International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Bosideng International
For every potential investor in Bosideng, whether a beginner or expert, Bosideng International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bosideng Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bosideng. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bosideng International's price trends.Bosideng International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bosideng International pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bosideng International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bosideng International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bosideng International Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bosideng International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bosideng International's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bosideng International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bosideng International pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bosideng International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bosideng International pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bosideng International Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Bosideng International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bosideng International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bosideng International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bosideng pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0836 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.407 | |||
| Variance | 0.1656 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bosideng International to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Bosideng International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bosideng International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Bosideng Pink Sheet analysis
When running Bosideng International's price analysis, check to measure Bosideng International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bosideng International is operating at the current time. Most of Bosideng International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bosideng International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bosideng International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bosideng International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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