EQT AB Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

EQBBF Stock  USD 28.00  7.57  21.28%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EQT AB on the next trading day is expected to be 28.00 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.30  and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.97. EQT Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast EQT AB stock prices and determine the direction of EQT AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of EQT AB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EQT AB to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in EQT AB cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the EQT AB's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets EQT AB's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for EQT AB - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When EQT AB prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in EQT AB price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of EQT AB.

EQT AB Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of May

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EQT AB on the next trading day is expected to be 28.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 1.89, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.97.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EQT Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EQT AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EQT AB Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest EQT ABEQT AB Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

EQT AB Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting EQT AB's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EQT AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.46 and 32.54, respectively. We have considered EQT AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.00
28.00
Expected Value
32.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EQT AB pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EQT AB pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.048
MADMean absolute deviation0.3046
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0099
SAESum of the absolute errors17.97
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past EQT AB observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older EQT AB observations.

Predictive Modules for EQT AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EQT AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EQT AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.004.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.004.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.7328.9336.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EQT AB. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EQT AB's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EQT AB's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in EQT AB.

Other Forecasting Options for EQT AB

For every potential investor in EQT, whether a beginner or expert, EQT AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EQT Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EQT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EQT AB's price trends.

EQT AB Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EQT AB pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EQT AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EQT AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

EQT AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of EQT AB's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of EQT AB's current price.

EQT AB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EQT AB pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EQT AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EQT AB pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify EQT AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

EQT AB Risk Indicators

The analysis of EQT AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EQT AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eqt pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with EQT AB

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if EQT AB position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in EQT AB will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against EQT Pink Sheet

  0.77TLK Telkom Indonesia TbkPairCorr
  0.6TLKMF Telkom Indonesia TbkPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to EQT AB could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace EQT AB when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back EQT AB - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling EQT AB to buy it.
The correlation of EQT AB is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as EQT AB moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if EQT AB moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for EQT AB can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EQT AB to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the EQT AB information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other EQT AB's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between EQT AB's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EQT AB is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EQT AB's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.