Hour Loop Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
HOUR Stock | USD 1.01 0.02 1.94% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hour Loop on the next trading day is expected to be 1.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.54. Hour Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hour Loop stock prices and determine the direction of Hour Loop's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hour Loop's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Hour Loop's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Hour Loop's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Hour Loop fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hour Loop to cross-verify your projections. Hour |
Most investors in Hour Loop cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Hour Loop's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Hour Loop's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Hour Loop price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X. Hour Loop Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Hour Loop on the next trading day is expected to be 1.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hour Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hour Loop's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hour Loop Stock Forecast Pattern
Backtest Hour Loop | Hour Loop Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hour Loop Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hour Loop's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hour Loop's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.51, respectively. We have considered Hour Loop's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hour Loop stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hour Loop stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.438 |
Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0744 |
MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0596 |
SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.5355 |
Predictive Modules for Hour Loop
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hour Loop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hour Loop's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Hour Loop
For every potential investor in Hour, whether a beginner or expert, Hour Loop's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hour Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hour. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hour Loop's price trends.Hour Loop Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hour Loop stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hour Loop could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hour Loop by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hour Loop Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hour Loop's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hour Loop's current price.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
Hour Loop Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hour Loop stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hour Loop shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hour Loop stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hour Loop entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
Day Median Price | 1.01 | |||
Day Typical Price | 1.01 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) |
Hour Loop Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hour Loop's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hour Loop's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hour stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation | 3.64 | |||
Standard Deviation | 5.34 | |||
Variance | 28.48 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Hour Loop in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Hour Loop's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Hour Loop options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hour Loop to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Hour Stock, please use our How to Invest in Hour Loop guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Hour Stock analysis
When running Hour Loop's price analysis, check to measure Hour Loop's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hour Loop is operating at the current time. Most of Hour Loop's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hour Loop's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hour Loop's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hour Loop to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hour Loop's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hour Loop. If investors know Hour will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hour Loop listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Earnings Share (0.07) | Revenue Per Share 3.768 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.161 | Return On Assets (0.08) |
The market value of Hour Loop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hour that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hour Loop's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hour Loop's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hour Loop's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hour Loop's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hour Loop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hour Loop is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hour Loop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.