Mayfair Gold OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MFGCF Stock | USD 1.47 0.01 0.68% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mayfair Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.02. Mayfair OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mayfair Gold stock prices and determine the direction of Mayfair Gold Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mayfair Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mayfair Gold to cross-verify your projections. Mayfair |
Most investors in Mayfair Gold cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Mayfair Gold's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Mayfair Gold's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Mayfair Gold is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Mayfair Gold Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period. Mayfair Gold Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of June
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mayfair Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mayfair OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mayfair Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mayfair Gold OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
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Mayfair Gold Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mayfair Gold's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mayfair Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.64, respectively. We have considered Mayfair Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mayfair Gold otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mayfair Gold otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.8341 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0331 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.02 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.0183 |
Predictive Modules for Mayfair Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mayfair Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mayfair Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Mayfair Gold
For every potential investor in Mayfair, whether a beginner or expert, Mayfair Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mayfair OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mayfair. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mayfair Gold's price trends.Mayfair Gold Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mayfair Gold otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mayfair Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mayfair Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mayfair Gold Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mayfair Gold's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mayfair Gold's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mayfair Gold Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mayfair Gold otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mayfair Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mayfair Gold otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mayfair Gold Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 39.92 |
Mayfair Gold Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mayfair Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mayfair Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mayfair otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.02 | |||
| Variance | 9.12 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mayfair Gold to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Mayfair Gold Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mayfair Gold's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Complementary Tools for Mayfair OTC Stock analysis
When running Mayfair Gold's price analysis, check to measure Mayfair Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mayfair Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Mayfair Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mayfair Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mayfair Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mayfair Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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