NetSol Technologies Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| NTWK Stock | USD 2.93 0.03 1.03% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NetSol Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 2.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.74. NetSol Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although NetSol Technologies' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of NetSol Technologies' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of NetSol Technologies fundamentals over time.
NetSol |
Open Interest Against 2024-08-16 NetSol Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast NetSol Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in NetSol Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for NetSol Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current NetSol Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to NetSol Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of NetSol Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in NetSol. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Cash | First Reported 1998-12-31 | Previous Quarter 15.7 M | Current Value 12.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 8.5 M |
NetSol Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of July
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NetSol Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 2.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NetSol Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NetSol Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NetSol Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
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NetSol Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NetSol Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NetSol Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.11 and 5.86, respectively. We have considered NetSol Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NetSol Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NetSol Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.9082 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0614 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0233 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.7435 |
Predictive Modules for NetSol Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NetSol Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NetSol Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for NetSol Technologies
For every potential investor in NetSol, whether a beginner or expert, NetSol Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NetSol Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NetSol. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NetSol Technologies' price trends.View NetSol Technologies Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NetSol Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NetSol Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NetSol Technologies' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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NetSol Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NetSol Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NetSol Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NetSol Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NetSol Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 109.65 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.0 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.92 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.92 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.03 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.03 |
NetSol Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of NetSol Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NetSol Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting netsol stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Variance | 8.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.38 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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When determining whether NetSol Technologies is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if NetSol Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Netsol Technologies Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Netsol Technologies Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NetSol Technologies to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy NetSol Stock please use our How to buy in NetSol Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NetSol Technologies. If investors know NetSol will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NetSol Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.87) | Earnings Share (0.38) | Revenue Per Share 5.173 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.145 | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of NetSol Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NetSol that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NetSol Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NetSol Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NetSol Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NetSol Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NetSol Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NetSol Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NetSol Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.