Ready Capital Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

RC Stock  USD 7.97  0.38  4.55%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ready Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 7.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.26. Ready Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ready Capital stock prices and determine the direction of Ready Capital Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ready Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Ready Capital's Receivables Turnover is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 469.42, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 0.99. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 156 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 213.4 M.

Open Interest Against 2024-10-18 Ready Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ready Capital's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ready Capital's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ready Capital stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ready Capital's open interest, investors have to compare it to Ready Capital's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ready Capital is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ready. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Ready Capital cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Ready Capital's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Ready Capital's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the accuracy of the generated results. Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Ready Capital works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Ready Capital Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of September

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ready Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 7.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ready Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ready Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ready Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

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Ready Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ready Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ready Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.19 and 9.73, respectively. We have considered Ready Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.97
7.96
Expected Value
9.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ready Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ready Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0205
MADMean absolute deviation0.1231
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0144
SAESum of the absolute errors7.2648
When Ready Capital Corp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Ready Capital Corp trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Ready Capital observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Ready Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ready Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ready Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.197.969.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.1710.2111.98
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.0712.1713.51
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ready Capital

For every potential investor in Ready, whether a beginner or expert, Ready Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ready Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ready. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ready Capital's price trends.

Ready Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ready Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ready Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ready Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ready Capital Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ready Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ready Capital's current price.

Ready Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ready Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ready Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ready Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ready Capital Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ready Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ready Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ready Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ready stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Ready Stock

When determining whether Ready Capital Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ready Capital's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ready Capital Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ready Capital Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ready Capital to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Ready Stock refer to our How to Trade Ready Stock guide.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ready Capital. If investors know Ready will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ready Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.053
Dividend Share
1.26
Earnings Share
(0.64)
Revenue Per Share
1.319
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.97)
The market value of Ready Capital Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ready that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ready Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ready Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ready Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ready Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ready Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ready Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ready Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.