Soluna Holdings Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SLNH Stock | USD 3.69 0.29 7.29% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Soluna Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.32. Soluna Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Soluna Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Soluna |
Most investors in Soluna Holdings cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Soluna Holdings' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Soluna Holdings' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Soluna Holdings works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality. Soluna Holdings Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of June 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Soluna Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Soluna Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Soluna Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Soluna Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
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Soluna Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Soluna Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Soluna Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 11.15, respectively. We have considered Soluna Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Soluna Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Soluna Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0347 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1386 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0553 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.3178 |
Predictive Modules for Soluna Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Soluna Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Soluna Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Soluna Holdings
For every potential investor in Soluna, whether a beginner or expert, Soluna Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Soluna Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Soluna. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Soluna Holdings' price trends.Soluna Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Soluna Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Soluna Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Soluna Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Soluna Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Soluna Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Soluna Holdings' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Soluna Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Soluna Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Soluna Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Soluna Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Soluna Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11206.89 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.78) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.78 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.75 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.23) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.29) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.72 |
Soluna Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Soluna Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Soluna Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting soluna stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.37 | |||
| Variance | 54.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 50.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 47.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Soluna Stock
When determining whether Soluna Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Soluna Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Soluna Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Soluna Holdings Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Soluna Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Soluna Stock please use our How to Invest in Soluna Holdings guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Soluna Holdings. If investors know Soluna will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Soluna Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (20.11) | Revenue Per Share 16.969 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 3.072 | Return On Assets (0.09) | Return On Equity (0.46) |
The market value of Soluna Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Soluna that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Soluna Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Soluna Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Soluna Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Soluna Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Soluna Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Soluna Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Soluna Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.